TOTAL VOLUME:

$27.2b

24H VOL:

$75,165,326

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,095,709,366

58,436

Markets across

1,256

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

98

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

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Fed Decision in January?
polymarket

Fed Decision in January?

Jul 29, 2026, 8:48 PM EST - Jan 27, 2027, 6:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$54,410
Volume 24h:
$0
100%
Liquidity:
$263,735
0.75%
Open interest:
$18,862N/A

No change

 - Polymarket

No change - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 27, 2027

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?

61%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 61¢ buys you 164 shares | Odds: 61% Total Payout: $164 | Net Profit: $64 Multiplier: 1.64x | ROI: 64% | APY: 228% 152 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

No change

Trade
61%
Yes 61¢No 40¢
$70,461
$16,164
0%
1%
N/A
5mo 2d
active
polymarket

25 bps increase

22%
Yes 22¢No 79¢
$37,318
$12,056
0%
40%
N/A
5mo 2d
active
polymarket

25 bps decrease

14%
Yes 15¢No 86¢
$29,195
$11,062
0%
32%
N/A
5mo 2d
active
polymarket

50+ bps decrease

5%
Yes 5.7¢No 96.3¢
$73,797
$12,838
0%
76%
N/A
5mo 2d
active
polymarket

50+ bps increase

2%
Yes No 98.3¢
1.3¢
$52,964
$2,289
0%
27%
N/A
5mo 2d
active
Total markets: 5

Description

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Polymarket

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.