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Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...?
polymarket

Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...?

Jul 16, 2026, 3:14 PM EST - Aug 31, 2026, 4:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$430,827
Volume 24h:
$748N/A
Liquidity:
$37,086
2%
Open interest:
$73,240N/A

August 31

 - Polymarket

August 31 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Aug 31, 2026

Time left: 04d:08h:58m

Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?

0%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 0.2¢ buys you 50,000 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $50,000 | Net Profit: $49,900 Multiplier: 500.00x | ROI: 49,900% APY not meaningful 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

August 31

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$37,086
$182,082
0.38%
33%
N/A
4d 8h 58m
active
polymarket

July 31

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$133,464
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

July 24

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$85,089
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

July 17

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$30,192
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mykhailo Fedorov is reinstated as Ukraine’s Minister of Defense by the listed date at 11:59 PM Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Fedorov will be considered reinstated if he is either i) officially assigned to temporarily perform the minister’s duties or ii) formally nominated for appointment by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to the Verkhovna Rada. A temporary reinstatement will be considered to have occurred when the President of Ukraine or the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine officially and definitively announces that Mykhailo Fedorov has been assigned to temporarily perform the duties of the Minister of Defense. A formal nomination will be considered to have occurred upon the submission of Mykhailo Fedorov’s nomination to the Verkhovna Rada. A public statement, media report, expression of intent, or informal announcement will not qualify, unless it constitutes an official and definitive announcement by the President of Ukraine or the Cabinet of Ministers assigning Fedorov to perform the minister’s duties. Fedorov does not need to be approved by the Verkhovna Rada, take the oath of office, or assume the position on a permanent basis to qualify. Whether any individual other than Mykhailo Fedorov is nominated, temporarily assigned, or appointed Minister of Defense, within the market timeframe, will not be considered. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information and records from the President of Ukraine, the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine, and the Verkhovna Rada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mykhailo Fedorov is reinstated as Ukraine’s Minister of Defense by the listed date at 11:59 PM Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Fedorov will be considered reinstated if he is either i) officially assigned to temporarily perform the minister’s duties or ii) formally nominated for appointment by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to the Verkhovna Rada. A temporary reinstatement will be considered to have occurred when the President of Ukraine or the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine officially and definitively announces that Mykhailo Fedorov has been assigned to temporarily perform the duties of the Minister of Defense. A formal nomination will be considered to have occurred upon the submission of Mykhailo Fedorov’s nomination to the Verkhovna Rada. A public statement, media report, expression of intent, or informal announcement will not qualify, unless it constitutes an official and definitive announcement by the President of Ukraine or the Cabinet of Ministers assigning Fedorov to perform the minister’s duties. Fedorov does not need to be approved by the Verkhovna Rada, take the oath of office, or assume the position on a permanent basis to qualify. Whether any individual other than Mykhailo Fedorov is nominated, temporarily assigned, or appointed Minister of Defense, within the market timeframe, will not be considered. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information and records from the President of Ukraine, the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine, and the Verkhovna Rada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.