TOTAL VOLUME:

$26.9b

24H VOL:

$53,643,865

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,063,853,505

56,734

Markets across

1,194

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

96

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

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Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
polymarket

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Jul 29, 2026, 3:11 PM EST - Aug 31, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$311,846
Volume 24h:
$144,369
7,168%
Liquidity:
$25,068
64%
Open interest:
$25,492N/A

No release by August 31

 - Polymarket

No release by August 31 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 1, 2026

Time left: 04d:18h:10m

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?

95%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 95.3¢ buys you 105 shares | Odds: 95% Total Payout: $105 | Net Profit: $5 Multiplier: 1.05x | ROI: 5% High Projected APY: 3,255% 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

No release by August 31

Trade
95%
Yes 95.3¢No
1.3¢
$9,222
$81,517
7%
39%
N/A
4d 18h 10m
active
polymarket

August 31

2%
2%
Yes No 99.4¢
3.4¢
$4,792
$9,476
3%
16%
N/A
4d 18h 10m
active
polymarket

August 27

1%
Yes 1.9¢No 99.5¢
1.4¢
$3,808
$9,933
2%
13%
N/A
18h 10m
active
polymarket

August 30

1%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.7¢
0.6¢
$3,446
$3,764
3%
48%
N/A
3d 18h 10m
active
polymarket

August 29

1%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.5¢
0.1¢
$2,947
$6,981
3%
29%
N/A
2d 18h 10m
active
polymarket

August 28

0%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.9¢
0.7¢
$852
$4,842
4%
16%
N/A
1d 18h 10m
active
polymarket

On or prior to August 1

50%
Yes 50¢No 100¢
N/A
$44
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

August 10

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$66,670
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

August 6

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$21,718
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

August 7

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$10,778
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

August 12

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$10,662
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

August 11

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$9,829
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

August 13

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$8,776
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

August 25

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$6,957
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

August 24

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$6,472
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

August 26

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$5,109
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

August 5

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$4,681
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

August 4

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$4,561
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

August 14

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$4,132
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

August 18

0%
1%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$3,999
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

August 17

0%
1%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$3,756
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

August 23

0%
2%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$3,523
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

August 19

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$3,231
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

August 15

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$2,979
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

August 20

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$2,965
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
Total markets: 25 of 32

Description

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.