TOTAL VOLUME:

$26.9b

24H VOL:

$53,643,865

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,063,853,505

56,734

Markets across

1,194

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

96

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

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Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
Breaking
polymarket

Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?

Jun 10, 2026, 11:11 AM EST - Sep 30, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$334,097
Volume 24h:
$125,855N/A
Liquidity:
$45,277
4%
Open interest:
$151,483N/A

October 31

 - Polymarket

October 31 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 1, 2026

Time left: 03d:18h:11m

Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?

44%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 44¢ buys you 227 shares | Odds: 44% Total Payout: $227 | Net Profit: $127 Multiplier: 2.27x | ROI: 127% APY not meaningful 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

October 31

Trade
95%
Yes 95.9¢No 5.8¢
1.7¢
$9,606
$3,674
404%
N/A
N/A
2mo 4d
active
polymarket

September 30

91%
Yes 92¢No 10¢
$10,814
$126,758
20%
N/A
N/A
1mo 3d
active
polymarket

September 15

85%
Yes 85¢No 16¢
$4,233
$23,313
43%
N/A
N/A
2w 4d 18h
active
polymarket

September 9

75%
Yes 75¢No 26¢
$5,896
$21,982
175%
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 18h
active
polymarket

August 31

Breaking
44%
Yes 44¢No 57¢
$14,727
$116,296
44%
N/A
N/A
3d 18h 11m
active
polymarket

July 31

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$42,074
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
Total markets: 6

Description

On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Polymarket

On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.