TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.6b

24H VOL:

$113,284,831

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,858,735,640

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,620,345,032

79,029

Markets across

1,359

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

138

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

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45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

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Kai and Speed beat Minecraft challenge by...?
predict

Kai and Speed beat Minecraft challenge by...?

Aug 10, 2026, 6:06 AM EST - Aug 17, 2026, 7:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$21,588
Volume 24h:
$14,088N/A
Liquidity:
$1,632,498
0%
Open interest:
N/AN/A

August 17

 - Predict

August 17 - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Aug 17, 2026

Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?

18%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 18¢ buys you 556 shares | Odds: 18% Total Payout: $556 | Net Profit: $456 Multiplier: 5.56x | ROI: 456% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

August 17

Trade
18%
Yes 18¢No 82.1¢
0.1¢
$35,271
$6,625
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
predict

August 16

11%
Yes 10.9¢No 89.2¢
0.1¢
$126,196
$818
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
predict

August 15

8%
Yes 7.8¢No 92.9¢
0.7¢
$165,121
$547
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
predict

August 14

5%
Yes 4.8¢No 95.4¢
0.2¢
$354,123
$238
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
predict

August 13

3%
Yes 2.8¢No 97.3¢
0.1¢
$299,071
$360
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
predict

August 11

0%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢
0.1¢
$295,328
$5,500
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
predict

August 12

N/A
N/A
0.4¢
$294,988
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
predict

August 10

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$62,400
$7,500
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 8

Description

Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. They will attempt a challenge to defeat the Ender Dragon, the Wither, the Warden, and the Elder Guardian in a hardcore Minecraft world on Java Edition, on the same seed, without either player dying in-game. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai and Speed complete the aforementioned challenge live on stream between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". All four objectives must be completed on the same seed and in the same world. Progress across multiple seeds will not be combined. Any successful attempt within the specified timeframe will qualify; however, no challenge progress may be carried over following an in-game death and the beginning of a new attempt. Practice or casual worlds not set to Hardcore will not count. No event will count if it occurs while the player in question is in Creative or Spectator mode, or if it results from the use of commands, cheats, or any external tool to spawn entities, alter the world, or deal damage. Only completion of the challenge as defined above will qualify. If Kai and Speed modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective, adding a player, or playing outside of Hardcore mode, any completion achieved under the modified rules will not count toward resolution. Only events occurring while at least one of the two players is broadcasting the challenge live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify. If the challenge is cancelled by, abandoned before completion by, or delayed to a point after the specified date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be footage from the official broadcasts of the challenge on Kai Cenat's and IShowSpeed's official broadcasts on YouTube and Twitch.

Predict

Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. They will attempt a challenge to defeat the Ender Dragon, the Wither, the Warden, and the Elder Guardian in a hardcore Minecraft world on Java Edition, on the same seed, without either player dying in-game. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai and Speed complete the aforementioned challenge live on stream between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". All four objectives must be completed on the same seed and in the same world. Progress across multiple seeds will not be combined. Any successful attempt within the specified timeframe will qualify; however, no challenge progress may be carried over following an in-game death and the beginning of a new attempt. Practice or casual worlds not set to Hardcore will not count. No event will count if it occurs while the player in question is in Creative or Spectator mode, or if it results from the use of commands, cheats, or any external tool to spawn entities, alter the world, or deal damage. Only completion of the challenge as defined above will qualify. If Kai and Speed modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective, adding a player, or playing outside of Hardcore mode, any completion achieved under the modified rules will not count toward resolution. Only events occurring while at least one of the two players is broadcasting the challenge live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify. If the challenge is cancelled by, abandoned before completion by, or delayed to a point after the specified date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be footage from the official broadcasts of the challenge on Kai Cenat's and IShowSpeed's official broadcasts on YouTube and Twitch.