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56,734
Markets across
1,194
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
96
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
53%
VS.
Kalshi:
47%
August 12
all
2 markets
Predict
Polymarket
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Aug 17, 2026
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?
$
Description
This event group tracks whether streamers Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed will complete a specific Minecraft challenge by various dates in August 2026. The challenge involves defeating four major bosses in hardcore mode on a single seed without dying, and must be performed live on stream.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All markets share identical resolution criteria including deadline timing, gameplay requirements, and broadcast validationPrimary resolution logic: Official broadcasts on Kai Cenat's and IShowSpeed's YouTube and Twitch channelsCore resolution logic:
- Challenge must be completed live on stream between market creation and specified deadline (11:59 PM ET)
- All four bosses (Ender Dragon, Wither, Warden, Elder Guardian) must be defeated on same hardcore world seed
- No progress carries over after in-game death - must restart from beginning
- Must be played in survival mode without commands/cheats/external tools
- Only counts if at least one player is broadcasting live during the attempt
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Challenge Cancellation: If cancelled, abandoned before completion, or delayed past deadline, resolves to No
- Rule Modifications: Any changes to objectives, mode, or participants invalidates previous attempts
- Off-Stream Attempts: Pre-recorded or off-stream attempts do not count regardless of success
Polymarket
Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. They will attempt a challenge to defeat the Ender Dragon, the Wither, the Warden, and the Elder Guardian in a hardcore Minecraft world on Java Edition, on the same seed, without either player dying in-game. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai and Speed complete the aforementioned challenge live on stream between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". All four objectives must be completed on the same seed and in the same world. Progress across multiple seeds will not be combined. Any successful attempt within the specified timeframe will qualify; however, no challenge progress may be carried over following an in-game death and the beginning of a new attempt. Practice or casual worlds not set to Hardcore will not count. No event will count if it occurs while the player in question is in Creative or Spectator mode, or if it results from the use of commands, cheats, or any external tool to spawn entities, alter the world, or deal damage. Only completion of the challenge as defined above will qualify. If Kai and Speed modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective, adding a player, or playing outside of Hardcore mode, any completion achieved under the modified rules will not count toward resolution. Only events occurring while at least one of the two players is broadcasting the challenge live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify. If the challenge is cancelled by, abandoned before completion by, or delayed to a point after the specified date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be footage from the official broadcasts of the challenge on Kai Cenat's and IShowSpeed's official broadcasts on YouTube and Twitch.
Predict
Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. They will attempt a challenge to defeat the Ender Dragon, the Wither, the Warden, and the Elder Guardian in a hardcore Minecraft world on Java Edition, on the same seed, without either player dying in-game. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai and Speed complete the aforementioned challenge live on stream between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". All four objectives must be completed on the same seed and in the same world. Progress across multiple seeds will not be combined. Any successful attempt within the specified timeframe will qualify; however, no challenge progress may be carried over following an in-game death and the beginning of a new attempt. Practice or casual worlds not set to Hardcore will not count. No event will count if it occurs while the player in question is in Creative or Spectator mode, or if it results from the use of commands, cheats, or any external tool to spawn entities, alter the world, or deal damage. Only completion of the challenge as defined above will qualify. If Kai and Speed modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective, adding a player, or playing outside of Hardcore mode, any completion achieved under the modified rules will not count toward resolution. Only events occurring while at least one of the two players is broadcasting the challenge live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify. If the challenge is cancelled by, abandoned before completion by, or delayed to a point after the specified date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be footage from the official broadcasts of the challenge on Kai Cenat's and IShowSpeed's official broadcasts on YouTube and Twitch.