TOTAL VOLUME:

$27.2b

24H VOL:

$69,287,501

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,087,562,910

57,539

Markets across

1,212

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

98

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

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Where will Vinicius Junior transfer?
polymarket
kalshi
limitless

Where will Vinicius Junior transfer?

Total volume:
$2,500,913
Volume 24h:
$277,689
48%
Liquidity:
$820,050
20%
Open interest:
$371,629
9%

Will Ødegaard join Man United by Sep 2, 2026?

 - Limitless

Will Ødegaard join Man United by Sep 2, 2026? - Limitless

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 2, 2026

Time left: 05d:14h:50m

Will Ødegaard join Man United by Sep 2, 2026?

1%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
limitless

Trade on Limitless

At 0.8¢ buys you 12,500 shares | Odds: 1% Total Payout: $12,500 | Net Profit: $12,400 Multiplier: 125.00x | ROI: 12,400% APY not meaningful 5 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

Will Ødegaard join Man United by Sep 2, 2026?

Trade
1%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.2¢
—
$820,050
$197,609
0%
0.11%
$282
5d 14h 50m
active
polymarket

Real Madrid

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.2¢
N/A
$486,263
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 50m
Yes
kalshi

Real Madrid

View
99%
20%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$231,436
N/A
N/A
$108,130
1mo 5d
Yes
kalshi

Manchester United

View
1%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,306
N/A
N/A
$24,650
1mo 5d
No
kalshi

PSG

View
1%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,020
N/A
N/A
$12,679
1mo 5d
No
kalshi

Liverpool

View
1%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,063
N/A
N/A
$6,944
1mo 5d
No
kalshi

Barcelona

View
1%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,990
N/A
N/A
$8,377
1mo 5d
No
kalshi

Atletico

View
1%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,558
N/A
N/A
$2,818
1mo 5d
No
kalshi

Tottenham

View
1%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,424
N/A
N/A
$1,903
1mo 5d
No
kalshi

Newcastle

View
1%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,611
N/A
N/A
$704
1mo 5d
No
kalshi

Arsenal

View
1%
13%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$375,157
N/A
N/A
$158,806
1mo 5d
No
polymarket

Arsenal

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.2¢
N/A
$444,068
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 50m
No
kalshi

Manchester City

View
1%
1%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$45,361
N/A
N/A
$30,966
1mo 5d
No
polymarket

Manchester City

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$168,036
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 50m
No
kalshi

Bayern Munich

View
1%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,945
N/A
N/A
$7,317
1mo 5d
No
polymarket

Bayern Munich

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$66,685
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 50m
No
kalshi

Chelsea

View
1%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,545
N/A
N/A
$8,053
1mo 5d
No
polymarket

Chelsea

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46,321
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 50m
No
polymarket

Paris Saint-Germain

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$119,943
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 50m
No
polymarket

Al-Hilal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$116,120
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 50m
No
polymarket

Al-Nassr

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75,454
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 50m
No
polymarket

Team A

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 50m
No
polymarket

Team B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 50m
No
polymarket

Team C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 50m
No
polymarket

Team D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 50m
No
Total markets: 25 of 32

Description

This event group tracks potential transfer destinations for Vinicius Junior, focusing on whether he will move to specific clubs or remain at Real Madrid before a defined deadline.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms resolve based on Vinicius Junior's next official club announcement before their respective deadlines, with consistent fallbacks to Real Madrid if no transfer occurs.Primary resolution logic: Official announcements from Real Madrid and/or the acquiring team, supported by credible media consensus

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolve to the team Vinicius Junior officially joins before the market's deadline
  • If no transfer occurs by the deadline, resolve to 'Real Madrid'
  • If joining a team not listed, resolve to 'Other' where applicable

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Release/Retirement: Markets resolve to 'Other' if Vinicius Junior is released, retires, or is without a professional contract by the deadline
  • Multiple Announcements: The first official announcement determines resolution, with subsequent transfers not affecting settled markets
Timing: Markets resolve immediately upon official transfer announcement or by the specified deadline (varies by platform)Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the next team Vinicius Junior officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Vinicius Junior does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Real Madrid". If Vinicius Junior joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Vinicius Junior is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Real Madrid and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on whether Vinicius Junior signs with any listed club before October 2, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if he signs a contract—via transfer fee or as a free agent—or if an official future agreement is announced. Loans, whether immediate or temporary, also satisfy the condition if registered with the listed club. Current or extended contracts with any listed club likewise result in a 'Yes'. If his contract expires without signing elsewhere, all markets resolve 'No'. Each club’s market is exclusive; only the signing or loaning club resolves 'Yes' if he moves, with others resolving 'No'.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "YES" if Martin Ødegaard completes a permanent transfer (not a loan) to Manchester United by September 2, 2026, 23:59 UTC, as shown on Transfermarkt (https://www.transfermarkt.com/martin-odegaard/profil/spieler/316264). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If Transfermarkt does not clearly indicate that Martin Ødegaard has joined Manchester United on a permanent transfer, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.