TOTAL VOLUME:

$26.9b

24H VOL:

$53,643,865

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,063,853,505

56,734

Markets across

1,194

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

96

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

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MLB: 2026 National League Champion
polymarket
kalshi

Which team will win the 2026 National League Championship?

Total volume:
$4,782,562
Volume 24h:
$14,702
57%
Liquidity:
$900,328
2%
Open interest:
$716,844
1%

Los Angeles Dodgers

 - Polymarket

Los Angeles Dodgers - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 1, 2026

Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?

43%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 44¢ buys you 227 shares | Odds: 43% Total Payout: $227 | Net Profit: $127 Multiplier: 2.27x | ROI: 127% High Projected APY: 9,271% 65 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Los Angeles Dodgers

Trade
43%
1%
Yes 44¢No 59¢
3¢
$66,650
$56,269
5%
9%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Milwaukee Brewers

Trade
18%
1%
Yes 19¢No 82.8¢
1.8¢
$66,362
$399,984
0.01%
0.81%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

Tampa Bay vs San Diego

Trade
17%
Yes 3.9¢No 99.2¢
3.1¢
N/A
$1,775
0%
147%
$1,764
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Chicago Cubs

Trade
11%
Yes 12¢No 90¢
2¢
$69,461
$37,783
1%
5%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Philadelphia Phillies

Trade
11%
Yes 11¢No 90¢
1¢
$60,931
$54,388
0%
9%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Atlanta Braves

Trade
11%
Yes 11¢No 90¢
1¢
$68,001
$43,984
0.13%
3%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

New York Y vs Los Angeles D

Trade
10%
Yes 10.3¢No 90.6¢
0.9¢
N/A
$102,959
0.8%
9%
$61,513
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

Tampa Bay vs Los Angeles D

Trade
10%
1%
Yes 9.5¢No 92¢
1.5¢
N/A
$50,122
0.48%
11%
$33,614
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

Boston vs Los Angeles D

Trade
9%
2%
Yes 8¢No 93.5¢
1.5¢
N/A
$62,059
2%
8%
$43,037
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

Cleveland vs Milwaukee

Trade
8%
7%
Yes 4.5¢No 99.4¢
3.9¢
N/A
$11,613
3%
15%
$11,563
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

Boston vs Philadelphia

Trade
8%
Yes 4.8¢No 99¢
3.8¢
N/A
$17,898
2%
5%
$15,228
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

Boston vs San Diego

Trade
7%
Yes 4.5¢No 99.4¢
3.9¢
N/A
$11,650
7%
111%
$11,607
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

New York Y vs Milwaukee

Trade
7%
2%
Yes 5.8¢No 94.9¢
0.7¢
N/A
$30,086
0.24%
22%
$27,238
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

Boston vs Chicago C

Trade
6%
Yes 5.6¢No 98.7¢
4.3¢
N/A
$22,970
2%
12%
$22,705
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee

Trade
6%
Yes 5.8¢No 96.8¢
2.6¢
N/A
$35,842
0.99%
26%
$24,342
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

San Diego Padres

Trade
5%
Yes 6¢No 95.5¢
1.5¢
$42,174
$889,276
0%
0.18%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

Houston vs Philadelphia

Trade
4%
Yes 1¢No 99.6¢
0.6¢
N/A
$1,373
0%
0%
$1,355
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

Boston vs Milwaukee

Trade
4%
Yes 7.3¢No 95.9¢
3.2¢
N/A
$19,714
0%
16%
$19,188
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

Chicago WS vs Los Angeles D

Trade
4%
Yes 3.9¢No 99.2¢
3.1¢
N/A
$16,932
0%
6%
$10,773
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

Chicago WS vs Chicago C

Trade
4%
Yes 3.6¢No 99.2¢
2.8¢
N/A
$44,163
0.55%
10%
$27,115
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

Boston vs Atlanta

Trade
3%
Yes 3.2¢No 99¢
2.2¢
N/A
$18,264
3%
4%
$12,314
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

New York Y vs Chicago C

Trade
3%
Yes 5.2¢No 99.3¢
4.5¢
N/A
$14,661
0%
4%
$13,719
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

Seattle vs Los Angeles D

Trade
3%
Yes 3¢No 97.3¢
0.3¢
N/A
$34,016
0%
2%
$18,983
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

New York Y vs Philadelphia

Trade
3%
Yes 3.7¢No 98.8¢
2.5¢
N/A
$24,624
0.92%
23%
$20,482
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

A's vs Atlanta

Trade
2%
2%
Yes 2.5¢No 100¢
2.5¢
N/A
$1,854
6%
72%
$1,854
2mo 5d
active
Total markets: 25 of 240

Description

This event group covers prediction markets on which team will win the 2026 National League Championship Series (NLCS). Polymarket offers binary markets for each of the 16 NL teams plus an 'other' option, while Kalshi offers combinatorial markets on all possible AL vs NL matchups in the World Series. The two platforms are measuring fundamentally different outcomes: Polymarket resolves on NLCS winner, while Kalshi resolves on World Series matchup composition.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket resolves on NLCS champion (NL-only outcome); Kalshi resolves on World Series matchup composition (AL team vs NL team pairing). These are different events separated by the World Series itself.Hero tip: Polymarket and Kalshi markets in this group are NOT substitutes or hedges. Polymarket tells you which NL team wins the pennant; Kalshi tells you which AL-NL matchup happens in the World Series. You need both pieces of information to fully predict the postseason. A Polymarket YES does not imply any specific Kalshi outcome.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves on which of 16 NL teams (or 'other') wins the 2026 NLCS. Binary YES/NO per team. Resolution source: MLB.com or credible consensus. Cancellation after Nov 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET resolves to Other. Explicitly covers only the National League Championship Series outcome.
  • Kalshi: Resolves YES if a specified AL team vs NL team matchup is confirmed for the Pro Baseball Championship Series (World Series). 225 combinatorial markets covering all 15 AL teams × 15 NL teams. No explicit cancellation clause. Resolution tied to matchup confirmation, not to winner determination.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 National League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 National League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 National League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Each individual matchup market resolves to Yes upon confirmation that the two specified teams have secured the right to participate in the Pro Baseball Championship Series. Teams advance through winning prerequisite games, meeting tournament criteria, receiving selection, or otherwise officially advancing to the championship series. Resolution occurs immediately upon qualification of both teams, not when the championship series game is actually played.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data across Polymarket and Kalshi to track real-time odds on which team will win the 2026 National League pennant. Together, these venues have generated combined volume of $4,782,562, reflecting active trader interest in forecasting the NL champion. The cross-platform view lets you compare how different markets price the same outcome, revealing consensus expectations and spotting where individual venues diverge. You can monitor shifting probabilities as the season approaches and unfolds, giving you a dynamic snapshot of where informed traders see the highest championship probability.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus to discover true probability. This market has seen $14,702 in 24-hour volume, indicating active price discovery. Prediction market odds often reflect sharper, more granular forecasts because traders risk real capital on accuracy. However, sportsbook odds may incorporate additional factors like public betting patterns and promotional adjustments. Comparing both sources can reveal valuable gaps in how different venues assess championship contenders.

Polymarket currently favors Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? at 42.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Will Tampa Bay vs San Diego be the matchup in the Pro Baseball Championship Series? at 16.7%. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price differences emerge because each platform attracts distinct trader demographics, operates under different fee structures, and may frame the outcome slightly differently. Liquidity concentration also matters: deeper order books on one venue can tighten spreads and anchor prices more firmly. Regulatory environments and settlement rules vary between platforms, influencing how traders value tail risks. These gaps create arbitrage opportunities and reflect genuine disagreement about which team is most likely to hoist the pennant.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner is determined by which National League team advances to and wins the World Series matchup. Resolution hinges on the completion of the postseason tournament and the final series result. Traders should monitor playoff brackets, team performance during the regular season, and injury developments leading up to October. Once the NL champion is officially crowned, the market settles according to that verified result.

Regular-season performance is the primary driver: winning streaks, playoff positioning, and division races reshape championship odds continuously. Roster moves—trades, free-agent signings, and injury recoveries—can dramatically shift a team's perceived strength. Managerial changes and bullpen depth also influence trader confidence. As October approaches, playoff seeding becomes critical; a wild-card spot versus a division title changes matchup dynamics and perceived championship probability. Head-to-head performance in late-season games and postseason play itself will trigger sharp repricing. Breaking news on star player injuries or trades can cause sudden volatility. Monitor team health, trade deadlines, and playoff bracket scenarios closely for the biggest market moves.