TOTAL VOLUME:

$26.9b

24H VOL:

$53,643,865

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,063,853,505

56,734

Markets across

1,194

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

96

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Polymarket:

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Which company has the best AI model end of October?
polymarket

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Aug 12, 2026, 8:02 PM EST - Oct 31, 2026, 7:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$52,624
Volume 24h:
$2,806
47%
Liquidity:
$286,686
5%
Open interest:
$6,616N/A

Anthropic

 - Polymarket

Anthropic - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 31, 2026

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

85%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 85¢ buys you 118 shares | Odds: 85% Total Payout: $118 | Net Profit: $18 Multiplier: 1.18x | ROI: 18% | APY: 149% 65 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Anthropic

Trade
85%
Yes 85¢No 16¢
$5,822
$11,959
17%
0%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

OpenAI

6%
Yes 7.1¢No 95¢
2.1¢
$8,465
$2,499
4%
0%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Google

5%
Yes 6.4¢No 95.7¢
2.1¢
$4,586
$2,866
0.35%
219%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

SpaceXAI

2%
Yes 2.5¢No 99¢
1.5¢
$14,417
$2,809
0.36%
60%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Meta

1%
Yes 1.8¢No 98.9¢
0.7¢
$14,917
$2,808
14%
320%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Z.ai

1%
Yes 1.2¢No 99.5¢
0.7¢
$15,476
$4,718
0.32%
597%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

DeepSeek

0%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.6¢
0.1¢
$14,920
$2,042
0.49%
209%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Alibaba

0%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.7¢
0.3¢
$15,334
$1,957
0.51%
190%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

ByteDance

0%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.8¢
0.2¢
$15,588
$1,925
0.52%
196%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Moonshot

0%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.9¢
0.3¢
$15,306
$1,812
0.55%
0%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Baidu

0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$15,545
$2,453
0.41%
170%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Nvidia

0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$15,519
$2,358
0.64%
264%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Meituan

0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$14,993
$2,335
28%
270%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Amazon

0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$15,805
$1,811
0.56%
199%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Mistral

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$13,874
$1,800
0%
166%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Xiaomi

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$14,139
$1,471
0%
79%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Microsoft

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$14,418
$1,327
0%
101%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

MiniMax

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$14,625
$1,262
0%
113%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Tencent

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$14,026
$949
0%
11%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

Thinky

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$14,718
$925
0%
62%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

StepFun

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$14,193
$540
0%
8%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
Total markets: 21

Description

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".