TOTAL VOLUME:

$26.9b

24H VOL:

$53,643,865

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,063,853,505

56,734

Markets across

1,194

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

96

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

BETA
Dashboards
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Tour
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Entertainment
Avengers: Doomsday: Cast
kalshi

Avengers: Doomsday: Cast

Jan 8, 2026, 10:00 AM EST - Jan 1, 2027, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$805,918
Volume 24h:
$1,972
59%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$298,997
0.01%

Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?

 - Kalshi

Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 2, 2027

Will Tobey Maguire perform as Spider-Man in Avengers: Doomsday?

95%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 96¢ buys you 104 shares | Odds: 95% Total Payout: $104 | Net Profit: $4 Multiplier: 1.04x | ROI: 4% | APY: 12% 127 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?

Trade
95%
Yes 96¢No
N/A
$81,220
0.31%
6%
$32,152
4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?

95%
Yes 95¢No
N/A
$36,956
0.12%
14%
$17,110
4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?

92%
Yes 97¢No
N/A
$45,295
0.03%
12%
$17,571
4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?

86%
Yes 92¢No 13¢
N/A
$44,025
0.09%
20%
$15,064
4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau?

79%
Yes 79¢No 23¢
N/A
$18,989
0%
11%
$8,712
4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel?

74%
Yes 80¢No 25¢
N/A
$30,755
0.05%
10%
$10,416
4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Benedict Wong as Wong?

70%
Yes 70¢No 33¢
N/A
$19,486
0.04%
4%
$7,734
4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Tom Holland as Spider-Man?

60%
1%
Yes 63¢No 41¢
N/A
$177,234
0.37%
4%
$60,398
4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?

60%
Yes 70¢No 32¢
N/A
$25,650
0.6%
12%
$10,511
4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts?

60%
6%
Yes 75¢No 39¢
14¢
N/A
$25,143
0.03%
11%
$9,455
4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?

54%
1%
Yes 54¢No 48¢
N/A
$34,175
0.31%
13%
$13,985
4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez?

50%
Yes 57¢No 49¢
N/A
$20,115
0.32%
15%
$5,461
4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan?

47%
1%
Yes 51¢No 53¢
N/A
$26,950
0.29%
13%
$10,133
4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?

35%
4%
Yes 32¢No 69¢
N/A
$67,940
0.09%
4%
$19,309
4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Halle Berry as Storm?

25%
6%
Yes 24¢No 78¢
N/A
$38,405
0.89%
10%
$13,857
4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man?

22%
Yes 21¢No 83¢
N/A
$18,425
0.28%
18%
$6,343
4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?

20%
Yes 20¢No 84¢
N/A
$11,660
0.41%
9%
$5,311
4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp?

11%
Yes 14¢No 89¢
N/A
$12,921
0%
37%
$4,251
4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Jonathan Majors as Kang?

6%
Yes No 95¢
N/A
$33,092
0.16%
19%
$13,975
4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Kathryn Newton as Cassie Lang?

97%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$37,480
N/A
N/A
$17,249
4mo 1w
Yes
Total markets: 20

Description

This market tracks which actors will appear in the upcoming Avengers: Doomsday film. An actor resolves to Yes if they are officially announced or actually perform in their specified role, regardless of whether the film ultimately releases.

Kalshi

Each actor satisfies the payout criterion through either official announcement or actual performance in their designated role. An official announcement, confirmation, or public credit as cast satisfies the criterion even if performance never occurs. Actual appearance on stage, screen, or in recorded content as the character also qualifies. If the film is cancelled after an official announcement, the market still resolves Yes for that actor. Multiple actors may be cast in the same role (e.g., alternating cast or dual casting), and the market resolves Yes for each announced or performing actor. The market may resolve No prior to expiration if the film is cancelled without the actor being announced, or if another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for that role.