TOTAL VOLUME:
$26.9b
24H VOL:
$53,643,865
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,362,287,844
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,063,853,505
56,734
Markets across
1,194
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
96
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
53%
VS.
Kalshi:
47%
飞驰人生3
- Predict
飞驰人生3 - Predict
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Jan 1, 2027
Will 飞驰人生3 be in the top 3 box office movies in China in 2026?
$
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
Description
This event group tracks the highest grossing movie of 2026 across multiple markets. Polymarket focuses on domestic calendar gross in the US, while Predict tracks top 3 box office movies in China for the same year.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: Geographic scope and market definition mismatch between US domestic gross and China box office rankingsHero tip: Treat Polymarket and Predict markets as independent — performance in one market does not guarantee performance in the other. Monitor both US and China release schedules separately.Critical divergence points:
- Polymarket: Resolves to domestic calendar gross in US for 2026 releases using Box Office Mojo data: "This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available."
- Predict: Resolves to China box office rankings using Maoyan data: "This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie is in the top 3 for movies with the highest 2026 box office in China... official resolution source is Maoyan (https://piaofang.maoyan.com/rankings/year)"
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Predict
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed movie is in the top 3 for movies with the highest 2026 box office in China. Box office figures outside of China, and at any time outside of 2026 will not count toward the resolution of this market. The official resolution source for this market is Maoyan (https://piaofang.maoyan.com/rankings/year). Specifically this market will resolve to the movies that rank number 1, 2 or 3 at the site with the year set to "2026", once data for December 31 is made available. In the event of any ties for exact box office figures, the rank shown on Maoyan will be used to determine the outcome. If no final data is available by February 1st, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, official sources or a consensus of credible reporting can be used.
