TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.1b

24H VOL:

$94,100,224

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,819,523,799

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,635,541,893

67,901

Markets across

1,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

139

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

45%

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Kalshi:

55%

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GTA 6 launch postponed again?
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GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Total volume:
$2,196,145
Volume 24h:
$1,308,110
11,746%
Liquidity:
$57,174
1%
Open interest:
$283,654N/A

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

all

2 markets

Predict

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 19, 2026

Time left: 24d:13h:24m

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

10%chance
Amount

$

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At 9.7¢ buys you 1,031 shares | Odds: 10% Total Payout: $1,031 | Net Profit: $931 Multiplier: 10.31x | ROI: 931% APY not meaningful 24 days to resolution
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Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
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Result
predict

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Trade
10%
Yes 9.7¢No 90.4¢
0.1¢
$36,193
$1,304,834
0%
N/A
N/A
3w 3d 13h
active
polymarket

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

4%
1%
Yes 4.4¢No 96.1¢
0.5¢
$20,981
$891,311
0.37%
N/A
N/A
3w 3d 18h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
7.4%
Yes 7.1¢No 93.3¢
Avg: 0.3¢Max: 0.5¢
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group concerns whether the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI will be postponed beyond its currently scheduled release date of November 19, 2026. The markets resolve 'Yes' if an official announcement is made of a further delay, or if the game isn't released by that date, and 'No' if the game is released as scheduled.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize identical resolution criteria, focusing on official announcements of delays or the game's actual release in the US by the specified date.Primary resolution logic: Official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to 'Yes' if Rockstar Games or Take-Two Interactive officially announces a delay beyond November 19, 2026.
  • The market resolves to 'Yes' if Grand Theft Auto VI is not available for purchase or download in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • The market resolves to 'No' if Grand Theft Auto VI is available for purchase or download in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Release on Specific Consoles: If the game is released only on certain consoles (e.g., Xbox Series X/S), it still counts as a release for the purposes of resolving the market to 'No'.
  • Early Access/Beta: Early access, beta versions, or other forms of pre-release availability will not be considered an official release and will not resolve the market to 'No'.
Timing: The market will resolve based on events occurring on or before November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Predict

On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.