TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.6b

24H VOL:

$113,284,831

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,858,735,640

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,620,345,032

79,029

Markets across

1,359

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

138

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

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Fed Decision in September?
predict

Fed Decision in September?

Jul 30, 2026, 11:05 AM EST - Sep 15, 2026, 8:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$351,536
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$89,990
0%
Open interest:
N/AN/A

No change

 - Predict

No change - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 15, 2026

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

59%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 59¢ buys you 169 shares | Odds: 59% Total Payout: $169 | Net Profit: $69 Multiplier: 1.69x | ROI: 69% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

No change

Trade
59%
Yes 59¢No 42¢
1¢
$43,437
$110,752
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
predict

25 bps increase

40%
Yes 40.9¢No 61¢
1.9¢
$22,350
$132,192
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
predict

25 bps decrease

2%
Yes 2.6¢No 98.3¢
0.9¢
$8,680
$42,562
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
predict

50+ bps decrease

1%
Yes 1.4¢No 99.8¢
1.2¢
$6,115
$7,608
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
predict

50+ bps increase

1%
Yes 1.3¢No 99.9¢
1.2¢
$9,409
$58,421
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
Total markets: 5

Description

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Predict

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.