TOTAL VOLUME:
$41.6b
24H VOL:
$113,284,831
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,858,735,640
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,620,345,032
79,029
Markets across
1,359
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
138
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
45%
VS.
Kalshi:
55%
Yordan Alvarez
all
2 markets
Polymarket
Kalshi
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Dec 31, 2026
Latest in Sports
Time left: 16d:14h:25m
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?
$
Description
This prediction group concerns the winner of the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player (MVP) award. Markets allow users to bet on specific players, as well as 'other' options, to win the prestigious award. Resolution hinges on the official MLB announcement.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: Significant SKU risk exists due to the differing approaches to player inclusion. Polymarket offers a wide range of 'Player X' options, while Kalshi lists a defined set of players.Hero tip: Focus on players listed on both platforms to minimize risk. Be cautious about betting heavily on 'Player X' options on Polymarket if the player isn't explicitly listed on Kalshi.Critical divergence points:
- Polymarket: Resolves to the winner of the 2026 AL MVP award. Includes numerous 'Player X' options, covering a potentially vast pool of candidates. Tiebreaker is alphabetical by last name.
- Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if a specific player wins the 2026 AL MVP award. Includes a 'Tie/Co-Winners' option. Lists a specific set of players, excluding many potential candidates.
Polymarket
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Kalshi
The market resolves to Yes if any of the specified players wins the American League MVP Award in the 2026 season. The award is determined by voting and recognizes the most valuable player in the American League. If multiple players tie for the award, the market resolves to Yes for the tie/co-winners outcome.
