TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.6b

24H VOL:

$113,284,831

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,858,735,640

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,620,345,032

79,029

Markets across

1,359

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

138

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

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NBA: 2026-27 MVP
polymarket
kalshi

NBA: 2026-27 MVP

Total volume:
$4,739,532
Volume 24h:
$207,052
9%
Liquidity:
$441,588
8%
Open interest:
$4,381,113
4%

Victor Wembanyama

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jul 31, 2027

Will Victor Wembanyama win MVP?

28%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 28¢ buys you 357 shares | Odds: 28% Total Payout: $357 | Net Profit: $257 Multiplier: 3.57x | ROI: 257% | APY: 435% 277 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Victor Wembanyama

Trade
28%
Yes 28¢No 73¢
1¢
N/A
$250,158
0.58%
N/A
$232,982
9mo 1w
active
polymarket

Victor Wembanyama

Trade
23%
1%
Yes 23¢No 78¢
1¢
$11,781
$6,646
18%
N/A
N/A
8mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
27.9%
Yes 25.5¢No 75.5¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Luka Doncic

Trade
20%
1%
Yes 20¢No 83¢
3¢
N/A
$393,931
5%
N/A
$338,225
9mo 1w
active
polymarket

Luka Doncic

Trade
18%
4%
Yes 19.6¢No 83.2¢
2.8¢
$11,837
$6,882
9%
N/A
N/A
8mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
20%
Yes 19.8¢No 83.1¢
Avg: 2.9¢Max: 3¢
kalshi

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Trade
20%
Yes 19¢No 82¢
1¢
N/A
$263,700
6%
N/A
$252,609
9mo 1w
active
polymarket

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Trade
18%
1%
Yes 18¢No 83¢
1¢
$11,787
$5,233
32%
N/A
N/A
8mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
20%
Yes 18.5¢No 82.5¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Anthony Edwards

Trade
14%
7%
Yes 15¢No 87¢
2¢
N/A
$437,295
4%
N/A
$383,406
9mo 1w
active
polymarket

Anthony Edwards

Trade
14%
6%
Yes 15¢No 87.3¢
2.3¢
$11,312
$5,488
38%
N/A
N/A
8mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
14%
Yes 15¢No 87.1¢
Avg: 2.2¢Max: 2.3¢
polymarket

Nikola Jokic

Trade
13%
Yes 13¢No 88¢
1¢
$11,756
$4,309
44%
N/A
N/A
8mo 6d
active
kalshi

Nikola Jokić

Trade
11%
Yes 12¢No 89¢
1¢
N/A
$224,846
0.16%
N/A
$221,187
9mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
11%
Yes 12.5¢No 88.5¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Trade
4%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
1¢
N/A
$295,078
2%
N/A
$270,141
9mo 1w
active
polymarket

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Trade
3%
1%
Yes 2.9¢No 97.2¢
0.1¢
$14,913
$3,494
39%
N/A
N/A
8mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
4%
Yes 3.5¢No 97.1¢
Avg: 0.6¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Jayson Tatum

Trade
4%
Yes 4¢No 98¢
2¢
N/A
$334,345
20%
N/A
$315,689
9mo 1w
active
polymarket

Jayson Tatum

Trade
1%
1%
Yes 1.6¢No 98.7¢
0.3¢
$17,388
$2,619
29%
N/A
N/A
8mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
4%
Yes 2.8¢No 98.4¢
Avg: 1.2¢Max: 2¢
polymarket

Tyrese Maxey

Trade
3%
Yes 3.6¢No 96.8¢
0.4¢
$13,224
$9,331
7%
N/A
N/A
8mo 6d
active
kalshi

Tyrese Maxey

Trade
3%
1%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$385,689
5%
N/A
$349,916
9mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3%
Yes 3.3¢No 97.4¢
Avg: 0.7¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Cade Cunningham

Trade
3%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$152,902
2%
N/A
$147,581
9mo 1w
active
polymarket

Cade Cunningham

Trade
2%
1%
Yes 2.4¢No 97.8¢
0.2¢
$14,801
$2,742
32%
N/A
N/A
8mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3%
Yes 2.7¢No 97.9¢
Avg: 0.6¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Jalen Brunson

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$205,732
0.51%
N/A
$193,016
9mo 1w
active
polymarket

Jalen Brunson

Trade
1%
2%
Yes 1.3¢No 98.9¢
0.2¢
$6,033
$2,426
21%
N/A
N/A
8mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2%
Yes 1.7¢No 99¢
Avg: 0.6¢Max: 1¢
polymarket

Alperen Sengun

Trade
2%
1%
Yes 2.9¢No 99.5¢
2.4¢
$16,292
$3,038
54%
N/A
N/A
8mo 6d
active
kalshi

Alperen Sengun

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$9,565
133%
N/A
$9,565
9mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1.2%
Yes 2¢No 99.8¢
Avg: 1.7¢Max: 2.4¢
polymarket

Tyrese Haliburton

Trade
1%
Yes 1.3¢No 98.8¢
0.1¢
$14,642
$3,116
16%
N/A
N/A
8mo 6d
active
kalshi

Tyrese Haliburton

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$203,014
1%
N/A
$202,568
9mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1%
Yes 1.2¢No 99.4¢
Avg: 0.6¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Chet Holmgren

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$809
0%
N/A
$809
9mo 1w
active
Total markets: 25 of 87

Description

This prediction group forecasts the winner of the NBA's Most Valuable Player (MVP) award for the 2026-27 season. The markets allow users to bet on individual players to win the prestigious award, recognizing the league's most impactful performer.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi lists a significantly larger number of potential MVP winners than Polymarket, creating SKU risk and differing probabilities across platforms.Hero tip: Consider the player pool size when comparing probabilities. Kalshi's broader list means lower implied probabilities for each individual player.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the player officially declared the MVP by the NBA. In the event of a tie, the player whose last name comes first alphabetically wins. If the season is cancelled or no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, the market resolves to 'Other'.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if any of the listed players (a very extensive list) wins the Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 season.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Most Valuable Player (MVP) award for the 2026-27 NBA regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NBA regular season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if the specified player wins the NBA Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 season. Resolution is based on the official award announcement by the NBA. The award is determined through voting by media members, fans, and players, with the winner announced following the regular season.