TOTAL VOLUME:

$26.9b

24H VOL:

$53,643,865

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,063,853,505

56,734

Markets across

1,194

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

96

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

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Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
kalshi

Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond

Jan 26, 2025, 10:00 AM EST - Jan 1, 2030, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$1,815,931
Volume 24h:
$59,489
348%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$867,412
2%

Jack Barton

 - Kalshi

Jack Barton - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2030

Will Jack Barton be the next James Bond?

34%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 34¢ buys you 294 shares | Odds: 34% Total Payout: $294 | Net Profit: $194 Multiplier: 2.94x | ROI: 194% | APY: 38% 1223 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jack Barton

Trade
34%
Yes 34¢No 67¢
N/A
$4,380
N/A
N/A
$4,277
3y 4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Jack Lowden

26%
Yes 26¢No 75¢
N/A
$59,201
7%
16%
$42,811
3y 4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Callum Turner

25%
Yes 31¢No 73¢
N/A
$443,031
2%
5%
$232,603
3y 4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Jacob Elordi

12%
1%
Yes 13¢No 88¢
N/A
$259,423
2%
3%
$102,239
3y 4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Harris Dickinson

7%
Yes No 93¢
N/A
$95,757
8%
9%
$42,147
3y 4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Jack O'Connell

6%
Yes 18¢No 94¢
12¢
N/A
$247
N/A
N/A
$246
3y 4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

5%
Yes No 96¢
N/A
$231,620
1%
2%
$124,475
3y 4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Josh O'Connor

5%
3%
Yes No 95¢
N/A
$109,218
1%
7%
$36,323
3y 4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Tom Francis

5%
Yes No 95¢
N/A
$32,490
40%
60%
$26,040
3y 4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Damson Idris

4%
Yes No 97¢
N/A
$45,021
2%
3%
$19,795
3y 4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Tom Blyth

4%
Yes No 97¢
N/A
$10,692
0%
0.07%
$2,547
3y 4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Paul Mescal

4%
Yes No 96¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
3y 4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Tom Holland

3%
Yes No 99¢
N/A
$78,110
4%
6%
$31,207
3y 4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Theo James

3%
2%
Yes No 97¢
N/A
$69,580
3%
9%
$36,108
3y 4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Idris Elba

3%
Yes No 98¢
N/A
$60,102
0.8%
2%
$22,050
3y 4mo 1w
active
kalshi

James Norton

3%
3%
Yes No 99¢
N/A
$37,730
7%
32%
$17,669
3y 4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Regé-Jean Page

3%
Yes No 97¢
N/A
$20,488
0.4%
3%
$8,596
3y 4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Richard Madden

3%
Yes No 99¢
N/A
$17,451
0.01%
5%
$12,933
3y 4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Jonathan Bailey

3%
Yes No 98¢
N/A
$15,474
0.01%
3%
$9,279
3y 4mo 1w
active
kalshi

George MacKay

3%
Yes No 98¢
N/A
$94
2%
2%
$94
3y 4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Henry Cavill

2%
Yes No 99¢
N/A
$98,132
0.73%
2%
$37,193
3y 4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Charlie Hunnam

2%
Yes No 99¢
N/A
$20,255
0%
0.01%
$7,930
3y 4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Nicholas Hoult

2%
Yes No 99¢
N/A
$14,634
50%
332%
$7,058
3y 4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Scott Rose-Marsh

2%
Yes No 99¢
N/A
$13,521
0%
3%
$8,233
3y 4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Tom Hardy

2%
Yes No 98¢
N/A
$12,181
4%
5%
$5,667
3y 4mo 1w
active
Total markets: 25 of 30

Description

The James Bond film franchise has produced movies since 1962, with each generation featuring a new actor in the iconic lead role. This event identifies which actor will be cast as James Bond in the next official film in the series before 2030, excluding spin-offs and unauthorized productions.

Kalshi

If Aaron Pierre is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aaron Taylor-Johnson is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tom Hardy is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. If Henry Cavill is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. If James Norton is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. If Damson Idris is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. If Richard Madden is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. If Regé-Jean Page is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. If Theo James is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cillian Murphy is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jonathan Bailey is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. If Harris Dickinson is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jack Lowden is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. If Idris Elba is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tom Holland is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jacob Elordi is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. If Charlie Hunnam is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. If Scott Rose-Marsh is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. If Josh O'Connor is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. If Callum Turner is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nicholas Hoult is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. If Henry Ashton is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tom Francis is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tom Blyth is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.