TOTAL VOLUME:

$27.2b

24H VOL:

$69,287,501

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,087,562,910

57,539

Markets across

1,212

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

98

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

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What price will Bitcoin hit in August?
kalshi
polymarket

What price will Bitcoin hit in August?

Total volume:
$24,582,479
Volume 24h:
$3,707,192
117%
Liquidity:
$2,117,340
18%
Open interest:
$465,034
0.05%

↓ 77,500

 - Polymarket

↓ 77,500 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 1, 2026

Time left: 03d:18h:49m

Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August?

49%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 50¢ buys you 200 shares | Odds: 49% Total Payout: $200 | Net Profit: $100 Multiplier: 2.00x | ROI: 100% APY not meaningful 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

↓ 77,500

Trade
49%
16%
Yes 50¢No 52¢
2¢
$34,485
$167,601
111%
N/A
N/A
3d 18h 49m
active
polymarket

↑ 82,500

Trade
40%
13%
Yes 40.4¢No 59.8¢
0.2¢
$50,624
$1,453,929
13%
254%
N/A
3d 18h 49m
active
polymarket

↓ 75,000

Trade
16%
8%
Yes 17¢No 85¢
2¢
$51,697
$442,138
13%
N/A
N/A
3d 18h 49m
active
polymarket

↑ 85,000

Trade
15%
5%
Yes 15.3¢No 84.8¢
0.1¢
$62,558
$1,144,192
11%
201%
N/A
3d 18h 49m
active
polymarket

↑ 87,500

Trade
6%
3%
Yes 6¢No 94.1¢
0.1¢
$57,265
$418,509
32%
N/A
N/A
3d 18h 49m
active
polymarket

↓ 72,500

Trade
5%
3%
Yes 5.3¢No 95.1¢
0.4¢
$48,594
$326,597
14%
N/A
N/A
3d 18h 49m
active
polymarket

↑ 90,000

Trade
3%
Yes 3.3¢No 96.9¢
0.2¢
$69,629
$667,767
17%
N/A
N/A
3d 18h 49m
active
polymarket

↓ 70,000

Trade
2%
2%
Yes 2.3¢No 98.3¢
0.6¢
$47,240
$346,055
21%
3,057%
N/A
3d 18h 49m
active
polymarket

↑ 92,500

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 98.4¢
0.4¢
$30,580
$169,453
88%
N/A
N/A
3d 18h 49m
active
polymarket

↓ 67,500

Trade
1%
1%
Yes 1.2¢No 99¢
0.2¢
$49,597
$464,683
12%
290%
N/A
3d 18h 49m
active
polymarket

↓ 65,000

Trade
1%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.4¢
0.3¢
$111,844
$271,872
29%
296%
N/A
3d 18h 49m
active
kalshi

Below $60,000.00

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$437,383
0.65%
38%
$198,662
3d 18h 49m
active
polymarket

↓ 60,000

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$163,930
$1,355,704
6%
75%
N/A
3d 18h 49m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0.5%
Yes 0.6¢No 100¢
Avg: 0.6¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Below $57,500.00

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$177,334
5%
19%
$71,997
3d 18h 49m
active
polymarket

↓ 57,500

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
—
$119,361
$1,122,041
4%
96%
N/A
3d 18h 49m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0.5%
Yes 1.1¢No 100¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 2¢
kalshi

Below $55,000.00

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$120,484
0%
13%
$65,129
3d 18h 49m
active
polymarket

↓ 55,000

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$138,194
$1,117,569
3%
75%
N/A
3d 18h 49m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0.5%
Yes 1.1¢No 100¢
Avg: 1.1¢Max: 2¢
kalshi

Below $52,500.00

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$97,397
0%
11%
$51,159
3d 18h 49m
active
polymarket

↓ 52,500

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$122,474
$630,663
2%
23%
N/A
3d 18h 49m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0.5%
Yes 1.1¢No 100¢
Avg: 1.1¢Max: 2¢
kalshi

Below $50,000.00

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$83,519
0%
14%
$44,195
3d 18h 49m
active
polymarket

↓ 50,000

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$115,115
$854,417
0.91%
33%
N/A
3d 18h 49m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0.5%
Yes 0.6¢No 100¢
Avg: 0.6¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Below $47,500.00

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$29,018
0%
88%
$18,661
3d 18h 49m
active
polymarket

↓ 47,500

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
—
$117,304
$640,463
2%
21%
N/A
3d 18h 49m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0.5%
Yes 0.6¢No 100¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Below $45,000.00

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$10,894
13%
38%
$7,956
3d 18h 49m
active
polymarket

↓ 45,000

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$125,841
$481,239
0.85%
38%
N/A
3d 18h 49m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
0.5%
Yes 0.6¢No 100¢
Avg: 0.6¢Max: 1¢
Total markets: 25 of 53

Description

This group of markets focuses on predicting whether Bitcoin will reach or dip to specific price levels during the month of August. The markets cover a range of price thresholds, both for highs and lows, and are resolved based on Bitcoin price data from Binance.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across Polymarket and Kalshi use Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data to determine resolution, with consistent criteria for high and low price thresholds during August.Primary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data

Core resolution logic:

  • A market resolves to "Yes" if any Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle high meets or exceeds the specified price threshold (for reach markets) during August
  • A market resolves to "Yes" if any Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle low meets or falls below the specified price threshold (for dip markets) during August
  • All price data must be from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair; other exchanges or pairs are not considered

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Market Creation Timing: For Polymarket markets created before August, the entire month is considered. For markets created during August, only price action from creation time through month-end counts.
  • Time Zone Specification: All timeframes are specified in ET (Eastern Time), from 00:00 AM ET on August 1 to 11:59 PM ET on August 31.
Timing: Markets resolve immediately after the occurrence of a qualifying candle, or at month-end if no qualifying candle occursOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What price will Bitcoin hit in August?

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple price thresholds for Bitcoin throughout August 2026, resolving to Yes if the price ever falls below any specified level. For each threshold, the settlement mechanism calculates a trimmed mean price every minute by removing the top and bottom 20% of price data points to mitigate the impact of extreme volatility. If, at any minute, this adjusted price falls below the relevant threshold, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. The measurement period spans from market issuance until August 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. If CF Benchmarks data becomes unavailable or incomplete by the expiration time, all affected markets resolve to No. The exchange specifies the exact Bitcoin version or ticker being tracked to ensure clarity.