TOTAL VOLUME:

$26.9b

24H VOL:

$53,643,865

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,063,853,505

56,734

Markets across

1,194

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

96

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

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Bitcoin above ___ on August 29?
Breaking
polymarket
kalshi

Bitcoin above ___ on August 29?

Total volume:
$2,106,592
Volume 24h:
$247,186
30%
Liquidity:
$378,100
50%
Open interest:
$904,901
5%

66,000

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Aug 29, 2026

Time left: 02d:07h:33m

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 29?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 99.8¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0.2% | APY: 44% 2 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

66,000

Trade
100%
Yes 99.8¢No 0.4¢
0.2¢
$28,756
$3,446
2%
N/A
N/A
2d 7h 33m
active
kalshi

$66,000 or above

Trade
99%
1%
Yes 100¢No 3¢
3¢
N/A
$10,703
1%
N/A
$10,669
1d 12h 38m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
99.5%
Yes 99.9¢No 1.7¢
Avg: 1.6¢Max: 3¢
polymarket

68,000

Trade
100%
Yes 99.8¢No 0.3¢
0.1¢
$36,550
$11,312
1%
N/A
N/A
2d 7h 33m
active
kalshi

$68,000 or above

Trade
98%
Yes 100¢No 10¢
10¢
N/A
$6,738
7%
N/A
$6,283
1d 12h 38m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
99%
Yes 99.9¢No 5.2¢
Avg: 5.1¢Max: 10¢
kalshi

$68,500 or above

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 10¢
10¢
N/A
$10,770
0%
N/A
$10,714
1d 12h 38m
active
kalshi

$67,500 or above

Trade
99%
1%
Yes 100¢No 10¢
10¢
N/A
$2,495
9%
N/A
$2,495
1d 12h 38m
active
polymarket

70,000

Trade
99%
Yes 99.6¢No 0.8¢
0.4¢
$28,540
$4,489
44%
N/A
N/A
2d 7h 33m
active
kalshi

$70,000 or above

Trade
98%
1%
Yes 100¢No 10¢
10¢
N/A
$20,907
1%
N/A
$15,029
1d 12h 38m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
98.5%
Yes 99.8¢No 5.4¢
Avg: 5.2¢Max: 10¢
polymarket

72,000

Trade
99%
Yes 98.9¢No 1.2¢
0.1¢
$29,398
$2,883
607%
N/A
N/A
2d 7h 33m
active
kalshi

$72,000 or above

Trade
97%
Yes 100¢No 10¢
10¢
N/A
$15,812
14%
N/A
$7,090
1d 12h 38m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
98%
Yes 99.4¢No 5.6¢
Avg: 5.1¢Max: 10¢
kalshi

$71,500 or above

Trade
98%
Yes 100¢No 10¢
10¢
N/A
$29,433
0.06%
N/A
$24,049
1d 12h 38m
active
kalshi

$70,500 or above

Trade
98%
1%
Yes 98¢No 10¢
8¢
N/A
$16,126
8%
N/A
$12,907
1d 12h 38m
active
kalshi

$69,000 or above

Trade
98%
Yes 100¢No 10¢
10¢
N/A
$6,853
0%
N/A
$6,455
1d 12h 38m
active
polymarket

74,000

Trade
98%
Yes 98.5¢No 2.1¢
0.6¢
$31,652
$4,559
98%
N/A
N/A
2d 7h 33m
active
kalshi

$74,000 or above

Trade
96%
Yes 99¢No 23¢
22¢
N/A
$17,935
13%
N/A
$10,959
1d 12h 38m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
97%
Yes 98.8¢No 12.6¢
Avg: 11.3¢Max: 22¢
kalshi

$74,500 or above

Trade
97%
Yes 99¢No 26¢
25¢
N/A
$22,610
21%
N/A
$11,465
1d 12h 38m
active
kalshi

$67,000 or above

Trade
97%
Yes 100¢No 10¢
10¢
N/A
$13,083
0%
N/A
$13,074
1d 12h 38m
active
kalshi

$72,500 or above

Trade
97%
2%
Yes 99¢No 10¢
9¢
N/A
$10,926
21%
N/A
$5,808
1d 12h 38m
active
kalshi

$66,500 or above

Trade
97%
Yes 100¢No 10¢
10¢
N/A
$10,715
0%
N/A
$10,706
1d 12h 38m
active
kalshi

$69,500 or above

Trade
96%
Yes 100¢No 10¢
10¢
N/A
$59,196
0%
N/A
$56,425
1d 12h 38m
active
kalshi

$73,000 or above

Trade
96%
Yes 100¢No 10¢
10¢
N/A
$34,504
18%
N/A
$21,717
1d 12h 38m
active
kalshi

$71,000 or above

Trade
96%
Yes 98¢No 10¢
8¢
N/A
$18,719
0%
N/A
$11,173
1d 12h 38m
active
kalshi

$73,500 or above

Trade
96%
2%
Yes 98¢No 10¢
8¢
N/A
$8,291
8%
N/A
$4,744
1d 12h 38m
active
kalshi

$75,000 or above

Trade
95%
6%
Yes 99¢No 12¢
11¢
N/A
$31,176
11%
N/A
$15,786
1d 12h 38m
active
kalshi

$75,500 or above

Trade
94%
7%
Yes 99¢No 30¢
29¢
N/A
$44,696
11%
N/A
$12,677
1d 12h 38m
active
Total markets: 25 of 62

Description

This group of markets predicts whether Bitcoin's price will exceed specific thresholds on August 29, 2026. The thresholds range from $66,000 to $90,500 across different markets.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Settlement Value Mismatch / Timing DifferenceHero tip: Traders should be aware of the one-day difference in settlement timing between platforms. Verify which market you are trading on and ensure you understand the specific settlement rules.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Uses the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT on August 28, 2026.
  • Polymarket: Uses the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on August 29, 2026.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Kalshi

All markets share a common resolution mechanism based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) immediately before 5 PM EDT on August 28, 2026. Each individual market has a unique price threshold, specified as a numerical value (e.g., $66,000 or above). If the calculated average price exceeds the respective threshold at the exact resolution time, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The official price is derived from collecting 60 RTI prices during the final minute before expiration, with the average of these prices serving as the binding determinant. It is emphasized that external sources like Google or Coinbase may show different values, and participants should rely solely on the CF Benchmarks BRTI for resolution.