TOTAL VOLUME:

$26.9b

24H VOL:

$53,643,865

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,063,853,505

56,734

Markets across

1,194

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

96

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
Watchlist
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Other
Financials
Economics
Entertainment
Science and Technology
World
Will Abstract launch a token by ___?
polymarket
predict

Will Abstract launch a token by ___?

Aug 28, 2025, 6:52 PM EST - Jan 1, 2027, 12:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$712,188
Volume 24h:
$229
87%
Liquidity:
$319,719
0.42%
Open interest:
$54,624N/A

September 30, 2027

 - Polymarket

September 30, 2027 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will Abstract launch a token by September 30, 2027?

83%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 83¢ buys you 120 shares | Odds: 83% Total Payout: $120 | Net Profit: $20 Multiplier: 1.20x | ROI: 20% | APY: 19% Low liquidity 399 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

September 30, 2027

Trade
83%
Yes 83¢No 79¢
62¢
$170
$77
0%
0%
N/A
1y 1mo
active
polymarket

March 31, 2027

Trade
79%
Yes 79¢No 72¢
51¢
$194
$29
0%
0%
N/A
7mo 6d
active
polymarket

December 31, 2027

Trade
78%
Yes 78¢No 75¢
53¢
$251
$2,111
0%
2%
N/A
1y 4mo
active
polymarket

June 30, 2027

Trade
69%
Yes 69¢No 89¢
58¢
$200
$68
0%
0%
N/A
10mo 1w
active
polymarket

December 31, 2026

Trade
34%
2%
Yes 35¢No 68¢
3¢
$2,064
$360,448
0.05%
2%
N/A
N/A
active
predict

December 31, 2026

Trade
7%
Yes 7.4¢No 92.7¢
0.1¢
$32,429
$80,327
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
20.5%
Yes 21.2¢No 80.4¢
Avg: 1.6¢Max: 3¢
predict

September 30, 2026

Trade
4%
Yes 4.1¢No 96.1¢
0.2¢
$282,032
$70,640
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

September 30, 2026

Trade
3%
Yes 2.9¢No 97.8¢
0.7¢
$2,378
$3,362
0%
32%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
3.5%
Yes 3.5¢No 97¢
Avg: 0.5¢Max: 0.7¢
polymarket

December 31, 2025

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$165,135
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
predict

June 30, 2026

View
N/A
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,991
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This group of markets focuses on whether Abstract or Oro will officially launch a governance token by specified deadlines. The markets will resolve to 'Yes' only if the token is actively and publicly tradable, with announcements alone not qualifying.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets consistently require an officially launched, actively and publicly tradable token by the specified deadline, with announcements alone not qualifying. The primary resolution source is the project's official channels, supported by credible reporting.Primary resolution logic: Official project announcements (Abstract/Oro) with credible reporting consensus as backup

Core resolution logic:

  • Token must be officially launched by the specified deadline (11:59 PM ET)
  • Token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable
  • Announcements alone do not qualify
  • Primary resolution source is the project's official channels, with credible reporting as consensus backup

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Announcement vs Launch: If only an announcement is made by the deadline but no tradable token exists, the market resolves 'No'
  • Partial Launch: If the token is announced and partially tradable but not fully public, the market resolves 'No'
Timing: Resolution occurs after the specified deadline (11:59 PM ET) when it can be confirmed whether the token was launched and is tradableOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abstract officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Predict

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Oro (https://x.com/orogoldapp) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Oro, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.