TOTAL VOLUME:

$26.9b

24H VOL:

$53,643,865

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,063,853,505

56,734

Markets across

1,194

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

96

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

BETA
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Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
polymarket

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

May 22, 2025, 10:50 AM EST - Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$347,697
Volume 24h:
$16
98%
Liquidity:
$23,948
9%
Open interest:
$19,237N/A

December 31, 2026

 - Polymarket

December 31, 2026 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?

11%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 12¢ buys you 833 shares | Odds: 11% Total Payout: $833 | Net Profit: $733 Multiplier: 8.33x | ROI: 733% APY not meaningful 126 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

December 31, 2026

Trade
11%
Yes 12¢No 90¢
$7,162
$48,927
0.01%
1%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

October 31, 2026

8%
Yes No 93¢
$16,786
$72,782
0.02%
2%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

March 31, 2026

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$184,752
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

December 31, 2025

0%
Yes 0.2¢No 100¢
N/A
$41,236
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This is a market on whether OpenAI will release a consumer hardware product by the specified date.

Polymarket

This is a market on whether OpenAI will release a consumer hardware product by the specified date.