TOTAL VOLUME:
$26.9b
24H VOL:
$53,643,865
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,362,287,844
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,063,853,505
56,734
Markets across
1,194
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
96
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
53%
VS.
Kalshi:
47%
UMA Disputed Prediction Markets — Contested Resolutions Tracked Live
Prediction market events under UMA oracle dispute across Polymarket and more — flagged and updated in real time until resolution is confirmed. Read more...
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View moreWill Trump say "Gulf of America" before Sep 1, 2026?
+76 ptslast hour
Insights
View allWar Index
Indices29.9/ 100
watchful
24H ↑ 0.07D ↑ 0.6
A rise isn't inherently "good".
#
Event
% Chance
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Ends in
Trade
| # | Event | % Chance | Price | Liquidity | Volume | 24h | 7d | Ends in | Trade | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Will Trump publicly insult someone on...? | 31 markets | $42,817 | $889,430 | +28% | +471% | See markets | Trade | ||
| 2 | 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis) | 56 markets | N/A | $266,145 | N/A | +10% | See markets | Trade on | ||
| 3 | NATO x Russia military clash by...? | 6 markets | $143,985 | $6,114,634 | +1% | +42% | See markets | Trade | ||
| 4 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by...? | 6 markets | $42,378 | $3,634,584 | +0.03% | +1% | See markets | Trade | ||
| 5 | Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31? | 16 markets | $326,678 | $742,113 | +0.72% | +5% | Trade | |||
| 6 | How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026? | 16 markets | $125,305 | $1,640,177 | +0.01% | +0.11% | Trade | |||
| 7 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | 14% | Yes 14¢ / No 87¢ | $46,590 | $1,671,441 | +0.01% | +2% | Trade | ||
| 8 | Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027? | 17 markets | $152,719 | $386,115 | +0.04% | +1% | Trade | |||
| 9 | China Annual GDP Growth 2026 | 10 markets | $125,918 | $881,924 | 0% | +0.23% | Trade | |||
| 10 | Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding? | 16 markets | $2,951 | $1,393,287 | 0% | +0.11% | Trade | |||
| 11 | Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs | 32 markets | $19 | $1,084,552 | 0% | 0% | Trade | |||
| Events per page: 50 · 1–11 of 11 | ||||||||||