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Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
polymarket

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Jun 1, 2026, 1:50 PM EST - Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$742,113
Volume 24h:
$344,918
40,678%
Liquidity:
$327,369
188%
Open interest:
$137,730N/A

Venezuela

 - Polymarket

Venezuela - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?

11%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 11¢ buys you 909 shares | Odds: 11% Total Payout: $909 | Net Profit: $809 Multiplier: 9.09x | ROI: 809% APY not meaningful 126 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Venezuela

Trade
11%
Yes 11¢No 90¢
1¢
$13,703
$354,487
85%
97%
N/A
4mo 6d
disputed
polymarket

Lebanon

Trade
10%
Yes 10¢No 91¢
1¢
$15,501
$110,278
0.02%
0.65%
N/A
4mo 6d
disputed
polymarket

Indonesia

Trade
10%
Yes 10¢No 91¢
1¢
$14,894
$17,132
0%
0.78%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

Saudi Arabia

Trade
7%
2%
Yes 8¢No 94¢
2¢
$26,543
$61,452
1%
4%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

Kuwait

Trade
7%
Yes 7¢No 94¢
1¢
$18,643
$16,258
0%
10%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

Tunisia

Trade
7%
Yes 7¢No 94¢
1¢
$16,866
$12,362
0%
1%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

Syria

Trade
6%
Yes 6¢No 95¢
1¢
$16,319
$20,927
0.96%
6%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

North Korea

Trade
5%
Yes 4.8¢No 95.5¢
0.3¢
$25,182
$20,079
4%
5%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

Pakistan

Trade
5%
Yes 5¢No 96¢
1¢
$18,402
$9,339
0%
3%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

Iran

Trade
4%
Yes 4.5¢No 95.8¢
0.3¢
$24,598
$16,242
6%
19%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

Cuba

Trade
4%
Yes 4.3¢No 95.8¢
0.1¢
$22,187
$9,387
0%
4%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

Qatar

Trade
4%
1%
Yes 4.9¢No 96.6¢
1.5¢
$25,022
$35,941
2%
3%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

Bangladesh

Trade
4%
Yes 4.3¢No 96.2¢
0.5¢
$24,245
$12,802
6%
7%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

Malaysia

Trade
4%
Yes 3.9¢No 96.2¢
0.1¢
$19,402
$12,668
1%
5%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

Afghanistan

Trade
4%
Yes 4.1¢No 96.7¢
0.8¢
$25,309
$20,298
4%
5%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

Iraq

Trade
4%
Yes 3.7¢No 96.6¢
0.3¢
$20,552
$12,462
0.64%
2%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
Total markets: 16

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.