TOTAL VOLUME:

$26.9b

24H VOL:

$53,643,865

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,063,853,505

56,734

Markets across

1,194

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

96

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

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Bitcoin above ___ on August 29?
Breaking
polymarket
kalshi

Bitcoin above ___ on August 29?

Total volume:
$2,115,913
Volume 24h:
$256,507
28%
Liquidity:
$381,180
51%
Open interest:
$904,014
5%

66,000

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Aug 29, 2026

Time left: 01d:11h:20m

Bitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026?

34%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 37¢ buys you 270 shares | Odds: 34% Total Payout: $270 | Net Profit: $170 Multiplier: 2.70x | ROI: 170% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

66,000

Trade
100%
Yes 99.8¢No 0.3¢
0.1¢
$28,558
$3,446
2%
N/A
N/A
2d 6h 15m
active
kalshi

$66,000 or above

Trade
99%
1%
Yes 100¢No 3¢
3¢
N/A
$10,703
1%
N/A
$10,669
1d 11h 20m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
99.5%
Yes 99.9¢No 1.7¢
Avg: 1.6¢Max: 3¢
polymarket

68,000

Trade
100%
Yes 99.9¢No 0.3¢
0.2¢
$35,416
$13,444
1%
N/A
N/A
2d 6h 15m
active
kalshi

$68,000 or above

Trade
98%
Yes 100¢No 10¢
10¢
N/A
$6,738
7%
N/A
$6,283
1d 11h 20m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
99%
Yes 100¢No 5.2¢
Avg: 5.1¢Max: 10¢
kalshi

$68,500 or above

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 9¢
9¢
N/A
$10,770
0%
N/A
$10,714
1d 11h 20m
active
kalshi

$67,500 or above

Trade
99%
1%
Yes 100¢No 9¢
9¢
N/A
$2,495
9%
N/A
$2,495
1d 11h 20m
active
polymarket

70,000

Trade
99%
Yes 99.6¢No 0.8¢
0.4¢
$27,973
$4,575
44%
N/A
N/A
2d 6h 15m
active
kalshi

$70,000 or above

Trade
98%
1%
Yes 100¢No 10¢
10¢
N/A
$20,907
1%
N/A
$15,029
1d 11h 20m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
98.5%
Yes 99.8¢No 5.4¢
Avg: 5.2¢Max: 10¢
polymarket

72,000

Trade
99%
Yes 98.9¢No 1.2¢
0.1¢
$28,492
$3,448
607%
N/A
N/A
2d 6h 15m
active
kalshi

$72,000 or above

Trade
97%
Yes 100¢No 9¢
9¢
N/A
$15,812
14%
N/A
$7,090
1d 11h 20m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
98%
Yes 99.4¢No 5.1¢
Avg: 4.6¢Max: 9¢
kalshi

$71,500 or above

Trade
98%
Yes 100¢No 10¢
10¢
N/A
$29,433
0.06%
N/A
$24,049
1d 11h 20m
active
kalshi

$70,500 or above

Trade
98%
1%
Yes 96¢No 10¢
6¢
N/A
$16,126
8%
N/A
$12,907
1d 11h 20m
active
kalshi

$69,000 or above

Trade
98%
Yes 100¢No 9¢
9¢
N/A
$6,853
0%
N/A
$6,455
1d 11h 20m
active
polymarket

74,000

Trade
98%
Yes 99¢No 2.1¢
1.1¢
$28,674
$4,963
98%
N/A
N/A
2d 6h 15m
active
kalshi

$74,000 or above

Trade
96%
Yes 99¢No 23¢
22¢
N/A
$17,935
13%
N/A
$10,959
1d 11h 20m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
97%
Yes 99¢No 12.6¢
Avg: 11.6¢Max: 22¢
kalshi

$74,500 or above

Trade
97%
Yes 99¢No 26¢
25¢
N/A
$22,610
21%
N/A
$11,465
1d 11h 20m
active
kalshi

$67,000 or above

Trade
97%
Yes 100¢No 9¢
9¢
N/A
$13,083
0%
N/A
$13,074
1d 11h 20m
active
kalshi

$72,500 or above

Trade
97%
2%
Yes 99¢No 9¢
8¢
N/A
$10,926
21%
N/A
$5,808
1d 11h 20m
active
kalshi

$66,500 or above

Trade
97%
Yes 100¢No 9¢
9¢
N/A
$10,715
0%
N/A
$10,706
1d 11h 20m
active
kalshi

$69,500 or above

Trade
96%
Yes 100¢No 10¢
10¢
N/A
$59,196
0%
N/A
$56,425
1d 11h 20m
active
kalshi

$73,000 or above

Trade
96%
Yes 100¢No 9¢
9¢
N/A
$34,504
18%
N/A
$21,717
1d 11h 20m
active
kalshi

$71,000 or above

Trade
96%
Yes 98¢No 9¢
7¢
N/A
$18,719
0%
N/A
$11,173
1d 11h 20m
active
kalshi

$73,500 or above

Trade
96%
2%
Yes 98¢No 9¢
7¢
N/A
$8,291
8%
N/A
$4,744
1d 11h 20m
active
kalshi

$75,000 or above

Trade
95%
6%
Yes 99¢No 11¢
10¢
N/A
$31,176
11%
N/A
$15,786
1d 11h 20m
active
polymarket

76,000

Trade
95%
Yes 95¢No 6¢
1¢
$33,529
$8,549
11%
N/A
N/A
2d 6h 15m
active
kalshi

$75,500 or above

Trade
94%
7%
Yes 98¢No 27¢
25¢
N/A
$44,696
11%
N/A
$12,677
1d 11h 20m
active
kalshi

$76,500 or above

Trade
91%
6%
Yes 91¢No 15¢
6¢
N/A
$50,317
14%
N/A
$8,332
1d 11h 20m
active
kalshi

$76,000 or above

Trade
88%
4%
Yes 95¢No 42¢
37¢
N/A
$44,314
17%
N/A
$10,824
1d 11h 20m
active
kalshi

$77,000 or above

Trade
78%
4%
Yes 83¢No 18¢
1¢
N/A
$105,622
16%
N/A
$31,480
1d 11h 20m
active
polymarket

78,000

Trade
78%
Yes 78¢No 23¢
1¢
$32,242
$4,418
47%
N/A
N/A
2d 6h 15m
active
kalshi

$77,500 or above

Trade
73%
2%
Yes 75¢No 46¢
21¢
N/A
$56,260
32%
N/A
$10,682
1d 11h 20m
active
kalshi

$78,000 or above

Trade
70%
2%
Yes 70¢No 31¢
1¢
N/A
$159,731
12%
N/A
$35,590
1d 11h 20m
active
kalshi

$78,500 or above

Trade
70%
2%
Yes 70¢No 32¢
2¢
N/A
$138,382
22%
N/A
$19,600
1d 11h 20m
active
kalshi

$79,000 or above

Trade
58%
6%
Yes 63¢No 40¢
3¢
N/A
$159,437
6%
N/A
$30,754
1d 11h 20m
active
kalshi

$79,500 or above

Trade
49%
6%
Yes 55¢No 48¢
3¢
N/A
$94,949
6%
N/A
$19,800
1d 11h 20m
active
polymarket

80,000

Trade
46%
Yes 46¢No 55¢
1¢
$39,685
$2,361
24%
N/A
N/A
2d 6h 15m
active
kalshi

$80,000 or above

Trade
34%
10%
Yes 34¢No 67¢
1¢
N/A
$161,924
9%
N/A
$65,810
1d 11h 20m
active
kalshi

$80,500 or above

Breaking
Trade
34%
5%
Yes 37¢No 66¢
3¢
N/A
$62,777
58%
N/A
$16,612
1d 11h 20m
active
kalshi

$81,000 or above

Trade
20%
13%
Yes 31¢No 73¢
4¢
N/A
$81,224
21%
N/A
$40,380
1d 11h 20m
active
polymarket

82,000

Trade
20%
Yes 20¢No 81¢
1¢
$33,466
$2,605
45%
N/A
N/A
2d 6h 15m
active
kalshi

$81,500 or above

Trade
13%
8%
Yes 22¢No 80¢
2¢
N/A
$49,504
16%
N/A
$29,323
1d 11h 20m
active
kalshi

$82,000 or above

Trade
12%
8%
Yes 17¢No 88¢
5¢
N/A
$112,981
7%
N/A
$38,894
1d 11h 20m
active
kalshi

$82,500 or above

Trade
8%
8%
Yes 10¢No 94¢
4¢
N/A
$31,298
11%
N/A
$12,509
1d 11h 20m
active
polymarket

84,000

Trade
7%
Yes 7.3¢No 93.5¢
0.8¢
$32,006
$5,940
528%
N/A
N/A
2d 6h 15m
active
kalshi

$84,000 or above

Trade
5%
Yes 12¢No 100¢
12¢
N/A
$36,328
16%
N/A
$26,458
1d 11h 20m
active
kalshi

$84,500 or above

Trade
5%
Yes 15¢No 100¢
15¢
N/A
$29,346
12%
N/A
$16,963
1d 11h 20m
active
kalshi

$83,500 or above

Trade
5%
7%
Yes 5¢No 98¢
3¢
N/A
$28,362
67%
N/A
$19,306
1d 11h 20m
active
kalshi

$83,000 or above

Trade
4%
9%
Yes 26¢No 100¢
26¢
N/A
$62,620
8%
N/A
$49,213
1d 11h 20m
active
kalshi

$85,000 or above

Trade
4%
2%
Yes 9¢No 100¢
9¢
N/A
$55,109
8%
N/A
$37,774
1d 11h 20m
active
kalshi

$85,500 or above

Trade
3%
2%
Yes 10¢No 100¢
10¢
N/A
$14,411
3%
N/A
$9,119
1d 11h 20m
active
kalshi

$87,000 or above

Trade
3%
1%
Yes 10¢No 99¢
9¢
N/A
$14,316
2%
N/A
$9,328
1d 11h 20m
active
kalshi

$88,500 or above

Trade
3%
Yes 10¢No 100¢
10¢
N/A
$13,080
2%
N/A
$12,918
1d 11h 20m
active
kalshi

$86,000 or above

Trade
3%
3%
Yes 10¢No 99¢
9¢
N/A
$12,974
2%
N/A
$10,862
1d 11h 20m
active
kalshi

$86,500 or above

Trade
3%
1%
Yes 10¢No 99¢
9¢
N/A
$7,451
0.06%
N/A
$4,508
1d 11h 20m
active
polymarket

86,000

Trade
3%
Yes 2.8¢No 97.5¢
0.3¢
$32,798
$4,544
64%
N/A
N/A
2d 6h 15m
active
kalshi

$90,500 or above

Trade
2%
1%
Yes 3¢No 100¢
3¢
N/A
$8,853
0.02%
N/A
$8,142
1d 11h 20m
active
kalshi

$89,000 or above

Trade
2%
1%
Yes 3¢No 100¢
3¢
N/A
$4,915
15%
N/A
$4,243
1d 11h 20m
active
kalshi

$90,000 or above

Trade
1%
3%
Yes 3¢No 100¢
3¢
N/A
$24,065
0.47%
N/A
$19,865
1d 11h 20m
active
kalshi

$87,500 or above

Trade
1%
2%
Yes 3¢No 100¢
3¢
N/A
$16,197
1%
N/A
$10,851
1d 11h 20m
active
kalshi

$88,000 or above

Trade
1%
Yes 3¢No 100¢
3¢
N/A
$15,481
4%
N/A
$15,474
1d 11h 20m
active
kalshi

$89,500 or above

Trade
1%
Yes 3¢No 100¢
3¢
N/A
$8,916
0.26%
N/A
$8,175
1d 11h 20m
active
polymarket

88,000

Trade
1%
Yes 1.3¢No 99.6¢
0.9¢
$28,340
$4,786
2%
N/A
N/A
2d 6h 15m
active
Total markets: 62

Description

This group of markets predicts whether Bitcoin's price will exceed specific thresholds on August 29, 2026. The thresholds range from $66,000 to $90,500 across different markets.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Settlement Value Mismatch / Timing DifferenceHero tip: Traders should be aware of the one-day difference in settlement timing between platforms. Verify which market you are trading on and ensure you understand the specific settlement rules.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Uses the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT on August 28, 2026.
  • Polymarket: Uses the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on August 29, 2026.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Kalshi

All markets share a common resolution mechanism based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) immediately before 5 PM EDT on August 28, 2026. Each individual market has a unique price threshold, specified as a numerical value (e.g., $66,000 or above). If the calculated average price exceeds the respective threshold at the exact resolution time, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The official price is derived from collecting 60 RTI prices during the final minute before expiration, with the average of these prices serving as the binding determinant. It is emphasized that external sources like Google or Coinbase may show different values, and participants should rely solely on the CF Benchmarks BRTI for resolution.