TOTAL VOLUME:

$26.9b

24H VOL:

$53,643,865

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,063,853,505

56,734

Markets across

1,194

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

96

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

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World
Gas prices in the US in Aug 2026
Breaking
kalshi

Gas prices in the US in Aug 2026?

Jun 30, 2026, 10:01 AM EST - Aug 31, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$814,504
Volume 24h:
$78,041
228%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$426,776
6%

Above 4.00

 - Kalshi

Above 4.00 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Aug 31, 2026

Time left: 04d:04h:14m

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.11?

4%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 14¢ buys you 714 shares | Odds: 4% Total Payout: $714 | Net Profit: $614 Multiplier: 7.14x | ROI: 614% APY not meaningful 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 4.00

Trade
99%
4%
Yes 99¢No 3¢
2¢
N/A
$126,526
0.49%
50%
$80,725
4d 4h 14m
active
kalshi

Above 3.90

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$89,632
0.01%
3%
$50,696
4d 4h 14m
active
kalshi

Above 3.70

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$27,744
0%
0.19%
$14,913
4d 4h 14m
active
kalshi

Above 3.50

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$23,623
0%
6%
$15,849
4d 4h 14m
active
kalshi

Above 3.60

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$18,711
0%
0.68%
$12,177
4d 4h 14m
active
kalshi

Above 3.30

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$15,139
0%
0.01%
$11,599
4d 4h 14m
active
kalshi

Above 2.70

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$12,879
23%
24%
$11,364
4d 4h 14m
active
kalshi

Above 2.80

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$9,347
0%
0%
$6,621
4d 4h 14m
active
kalshi

Above 3.20

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$6,252
0%
0%
$4,177
4d 4h 14m
active
kalshi

Above 3.10

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$4,876
0%
0%
$2,457
4d 4h 14m
active
kalshi

Above 3.00

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$4,772
0%
0%
$3,893
4d 4h 14m
active
kalshi

Above 2.90

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$4,518
0%
0%
$3,439
4d 4h 14m
active
kalshi

Above 2.50

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$4,075
0%
5%
$1,748
4d 4h 14m
active
kalshi

Above 2.60

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$2,289
0%
0%
$1,772
4d 4h 14m
active
kalshi

Above 3.80

Trade
98%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$35,897
0%
2%
$20,059
4d 4h 14m
active
kalshi

Above 3.40

Trade
98%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$20,615
0%
0%
$13,833
4d 4h 14m
active
kalshi

Above 4.10

Trade
9%
11%
Yes 13¢No 91¢
4¢
N/A
$140,594
54%
133%
$42,929
4d 4h 14m
active
kalshi

Above 4.16

Trade
9%
Yes 10¢No 100¢
10¢
N/A
$2,878
0%
N/A
$2,728
4d 4h 14m
active
kalshi

Above 4.14

Trade
6%
Yes 17¢No 99¢
16¢
N/A
$3,782
6%
N/A
$3,041
4d 4h 14m
active
kalshi

Above 4.15

Trade
6%
Yes 6¢No 99¢
5¢
N/A
$2,315
0%
N/A
$1,951
4d 4h 14m
active
kalshi

Above 4.13

Trade
5%
3%
Yes 20¢No 100¢
20¢
N/A
$9,130
298%
N/A
$8,458
4d 4h 14m
active
kalshi

Above 4.17

Trade
5%
Yes 14¢No 100¢
14¢
N/A
$3,371
2%
N/A
$3,284
4d 4h 14m
active
kalshi

Above 4.11

Breaking
Trade
4%
Yes 14¢No 95¢
9¢
N/A
$15,390
650%
N/A
$11,656
4d 4h 14m
active
kalshi

Above 4.12

Trade
4%
Yes 25¢No 100¢
25¢
N/A
$4,115
223%
N/A
$3,734
4d 4h 14m
active
kalshi

Above 4.19

Trade
4%
Yes 4¢No 100¢
4¢
N/A
$3,704
0.64%
N/A
$3,558
4d 4h 14m
active
kalshi

Above 4.20

Trade
3%
1%
Yes 5¢No 99¢
4¢
N/A
$113,073
0.93%
132%
$23,059
4d 4h 14m
active
kalshi

Above 4.40

Trade
3%
Yes 3¢No 100¢
3¢
N/A
$24,004
0.02%
16%
$12,106
4d 4h 14m
active
kalshi

Above 4.18

Trade
3%
Yes 3¢No 100¢
3¢
N/A
$4,315
0.21%
N/A
$4,240
4d 4h 14m
active
kalshi

Above 4.30

Trade
2%
1%
Yes 4¢No 100¢
4¢
N/A
$33,355
0.52%
45%
$17,037
4d 4h 14m
active
kalshi

Above 4.60

Trade
2%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$2,807
0%
2%
$1,101
4d 4h 14m
active
kalshi

Above 4.80

Trade
2%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$1,541
0%
18%
$1,298
4d 4h 14m
active
kalshi

Above 4.50

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$21,567
0.44%
6%
$10,993
4d 4h 14m
active
kalshi

Above 5.00

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$15,804
7%
97%
$15,393
4d 4h 14m
active
kalshi

Above 4.70

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$3,835
0%
0.08%
$2,963
4d 4h 14m
active
kalshi

Above 4.90

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$2,030
0%
104%
$1,927
4d 4h 14m
active
Total markets: 35

Description

This event tracks the potential fluctuation of fuel costs over the next few years, reflecting how global supply chains, geopolitical tensions, and domestic policy decisions can influence everyday expenses for consumers. It serves as an indicator of broader economic health and energy market stability.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple thresholds for U.S. average regular gas prices as reported by AAA on August 31, 2026. Each threshold represents a distinct price point, ranging incrementally from $2.50 to $5.00. For any given threshold, if the recorded average price exceeds that exact value, the corresponding market resolves positively (Yes). Thresholds are evaluated independently, allowing for multiple markets to resolve simultaneously if prices surpass several levels. The outcome hinges solely on the numerical comparison between the actual AAA-reported average and each specified threshold, without additional qualifying conditions.