TOTAL VOLUME:

$26.9b

24H VOL:

$53,643,865

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,063,853,505

56,734

Markets across

1,194

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

96

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

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How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
kalshi

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

Dec 8, 2025, 10:00 PM EST - Dec 31, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$600,123
Volume 24h:
$1,348
95%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$222,824
0.03%

Above 120

 - Kalshi

Above 120 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

98%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 98¢ buys you 102 shares | Odds: 98% Total Payout: $102 | Net Profit: $2 Multiplier: 1.02x | ROI: 2% | APY: 6% 126 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 120

Trade
98%
Yes 98¢No 3¢
1¢
N/A
$34,579
0.78%
5%
$16,069
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

Above 140

Trade
89%
Yes 93¢No 9¢
2¢
N/A
$69,914
0.26%
22%
$24,265
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

Above 150

Trade
60%
Yes 58¢No 44¢
2¢
N/A
$17,657
2%
80%
$8,982
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

Above 160

Trade
16%
2%
Yes 18¢No 85¢
3¢
N/A
$162,838
0.33%
4%
$45,526
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

Above 170

Trade
9%
1%
Yes 9¢No 94¢
3¢
N/A
$81,468
0.12%
3%
$30,721
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

Above 190

Trade
7%
Yes 7¢No 94¢
1¢
N/A
$39,688
0%
0.04%
$16,522
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

Above 180

Trade
6%
Yes 6¢No 95¢
1¢
N/A
$120,424
0.01%
7%
$48,729
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

Above 210

Trade
4%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
1¢
N/A
$44,336
0%
0.09%
$23,738
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

Above 200

Trade
4%
Yes 5¢No 97¢
2¢
N/A
$29,219
0%
0.08%
$8,272
4mo 6d
active
Total markets: 9

Description

SpaceX conducts numerous orbital and suborbital launches annually to deploy satellites, resupply spacecraft, and test rocket systems. This market tracks the total number of SpaceX launches occurring throughout 2026, with resolution based on official FAA launch data.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the total count of SpaceX launches in 2026 according to FAA source agency data. Each threshold (120, 140, 150, 160, 170, 180, 190, 200, and 210+ launches) constitutes a separate resolution criterion. If FAA data is delayed, the market will expire and resolve following data availability in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.