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56,734

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How many launches will SpaceX have in August?
kalshi

How many launches will SpaceX have in August?

Jul 28, 2026, 10:00 AM EST - Sep 7, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$787,011
Volume 24h:
$49,962
35%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$385,172
5%

Above 10

 - Kalshi

Above 10 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 7, 2026

Time left: 11d:02h:04m

How many launches will SpaceX have in Aug 2026?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: 0% Illiquid market 11 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 10

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$87,198
0%
1%
$40,030
1w 4d 2h
active
kalshi

Above 11

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$41,132
1%
29%
$20,231
1w 4d 2h
active
kalshi

Above 12

Trade
92%
2%
Yes 91¢No 11¢
2¢
N/A
$88,259
9%
47%
$34,787
1w 4d 2h
active
kalshi

Above 13

Trade
4%
3%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
1¢
N/A
$183,335
17%
126%
$77,301
1w 4d 2h
active
kalshi

Above 14

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$164,840
5%
165%
$85,285
1w 4d 2h
active
kalshi

Above 15

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$132,194
3%
105%
$77,093
1w 4d 2h
active
kalshi

Above 16

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$42,029
0%
92%
$20,402
1w 4d 2h
active
kalshi

Above 18

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$33,236
0%
19%
$19,421
1w 4d 2h
active
kalshi

Above 17

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$14,788
11%
73%
$10,622
1w 4d 2h
active
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the frequency of SpaceX's spaceflight operations during a specific month, reflecting the company's operational tempo and capacity. It provides insight into how often SpaceX conducts launches, which can indicate their readiness, scheduling efficiency, and overall activity level during that period.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether SpaceX conducts a high number of launches in August 2026, with each market threshold incrementally raising the required number of launches for a 'Yes' outcome. Starting from more than 10 launches, each subsequent rule demands one additional launch, culminating in a requirement of more than 18 launches to trigger the highest threshold. All markets share the same evaluation period and subject, differing only in the specific numerical threshold that determines resolution. The collective rules offer a tiered perspective on SpaceX's launch frequency, allowing participants to assess probabilities across various levels of operational intensity.