TOTAL VOLUME:

$26.9b

24H VOL:

$53,643,865

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,063,853,505

56,734

Markets across

1,194

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

96

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Tour
All
Crypto
Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?
predict

Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Dec 29, 2025, 11:06 AM EST - Jan 1, 2027, 12:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$19,949,379
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
$1,141,524
0%
Open interest:
N/AN/A

$700M

 - Predict

$700M - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?

7%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 6.9¢ buys you 1,449 shares | Odds: 7% Total Payout: $1,449 | Net Profit: $1,349 Multiplier: 14.49x | ROI: 1,349% APY not meaningful 126 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

$700M

Trade
7%
Yes 6.9¢No 93.2¢
0.1¢
$222,371
$3,918,364
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
predict

$1B

6%
Yes 5.5¢No 94.6¢
0.1¢
$178,134
$8,909,042
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
predict

$4B

4%
Yes 4.5¢No 95.8¢
0.3¢
$231,829
$3,032,075
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
predict

$3B

4%
Yes 3.8¢No 96.3¢
0.1¢
$246,480
$2,910,003
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
predict

$2B

4%
Yes 3.7¢No 96.5¢
0.2¢
$262,711
$1,179,894
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
Total markets: 5

Intro

This market tracks whether MetaMask's token will achieve a fully diluted valuation exceeding $700 million within one day of its public launch. On Predict, the leading outcome carries a probability of 11.8%, while a higher valuation threshold above $1B one day after launch stands at 7.2%. Resolution will be determined by the most liquid price source available, with the valuation measured at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day immediately following when the token becomes actively tradable. Watch for MetaMask's official token launch announcement, as the market will automatically resolve to "No" if no token launches by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Metamask's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Metamask doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".