TOTAL VOLUME:

$26.9b

24H VOL:

$53,643,865

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,063,853,505

56,734

Markets across

1,194

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

96

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
Watchlist
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Other
Financials
Economics
Entertainment
Science and Technology
World
Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?
predict

Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Dec 29, 2025, 11:10 AM EST - Jan 1, 2027, 12:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$22,065,263
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
$758,697
0%
Open interest:
N/AN/A

$500M

 - Predict

$500M - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

13%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 12.8¢ buys you 781 shares | Odds: 13% Total Payout: $781 | Net Profit: $681 Multiplier: 7.81x | ROI: 681% APY not meaningful 126 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

$500M

Trade
13%
Yes 12.8¢No 87.5¢
0.3¢
$28,127
$3,419,970
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
predict

$1B

Trade
9%
Yes 9.2¢No 90.9¢
0.1¢
$21,048
$5,434,993
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
predict

$2B

Trade
5%
Yes 5¢No 95.4¢
0.4¢
$246,483
$1,638,469
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
predict

$3B

Trade
4%
Yes 3.6¢No 96.5¢
0.1¢
$231,022
$2,277,796
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
predict

$5B

Trade
3%
Yes 2.9¢No 97.2¢
0.1¢
$232,017
$9,294,035
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
Total markets: 5

Intro

This market tracks whether OpenSea's token will achieve a fully diluted valuation exceeding $500M within one day of its public launch, with a current probability of 23.6% on Predict. The secondary outcome—FDV above $1B one day after launch—stands at 15.5%. Resolution will be determined by the most liquid price source available, measured at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following when the token becomes actively tradable. Watch for OpenSea's token launch announcement and trading commencement, as the one-day FDV measurement window begins immediately after the token achieves public transferability.

Predict

This is a group of markets about OpenSea's FDV one day after launch.