TOTAL VOLUME:

$26.9b

24H VOL:

$53,643,865

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,063,853,505

56,734

Markets across

1,194

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

96

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

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Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
polymarket

Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Dec 12, 2025, 11:46 AM EST - Jan 1, 2028, 12:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$2,076,001
Volume 24h:
$23,189
48%
Liquidity:
$335,533
5%
Open interest:
$555,860N/A

$100M

 - Polymarket

$100M - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2028

Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?

97%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 97.5¢ buys you 103 shares | Odds: 97% Total Payout: $103 | Net Profit: $3 Multiplier: 1.03x | ROI: 3% | APY: 2% 491 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$100M

Trade
97%
Yes 97.5¢No 2.7¢
0.2¢
$24,081
$48,416
12%
39%
N/A
1y 4mo
active
polymarket

$200M

95%
Yes 96.5¢No 6.3¢
2.8¢
$28,387
$53,695
1%
25%
N/A
1y 4mo
active
polymarket

$300M

92%
Yes 92¢No
$28,504
$242,495
0.27%
6%
N/A
1y 4mo
active
polymarket

$500M

79%
Yes 80¢No 23¢
$47,943
$799,784
0%
3%
N/A
1y 4mo
active
polymarket

$800M

63%
Yes 64¢No 38¢
$42,702
$308,719
1%
21%
N/A
1y 4mo
active
polymarket

$1B

56%
Yes 57¢No 46¢
$44,487
$220,454
0.37%
22%
N/A
1y 4mo
active
polymarket

$2B

27%
Yes 27.7¢No 73.9¢
1.6¢
$33,264
$138,200
3%
21%
N/A
1y 4mo
active
polymarket

$3B

12%
Yes 12.5¢No 88.9¢
1.4¢
$30,678
$66,559
5%
22%
N/A
1y 4mo
active
polymarket

$5B

7%
Yes 7.1¢No 94¢
1.1¢
$30,149
$73,589
1%
7%
N/A
1y 4mo
active
polymarket

$4B

6%
Yes 7.1¢No 94.7¢
1.8¢
$25,337
$124,090
2%
3%
N/A
1y 4mo
active
Total markets: 10

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".