TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.1b

24H VOL:

$94,100,224

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,819,523,799

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,635,541,893

67,901

Markets across

1,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

139

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

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When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
polymarket
kalshi

When will Bitcoin hit $150k?

Total volume:
$37,789,118
Volume 24h:
$4,647N/A
Liquidity:
$102,367
7%
Open interest:
$4,858,317
0.05%

by December 31, 2027

 - Polymarket

by December 31, 2027 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 30, 2027

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027?

26%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 28¢ buys you 357 shares | Odds: 26% Total Payout: $357 | Net Profit: $257 Multiplier: 3.57x | ROI: 257% | APY: 193% 431 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

by December 31, 2027

Trade
26%
Yes 28¢No 77¢
5¢
$14,405
$13,871
1%
N/A
N/A
1y 2mo
active
polymarket

by September 30, 2027

Trade
19%
Yes 20¢No 83¢
3¢
$5,646
$10,196
0.94%
N/A
N/A
11mo 1w 2d
active
polymarket

by June 30, 2027

Trade
12%
Yes 13¢No 90¢
3¢
$8,505
$10,839
0.99%
N/A
N/A
8mo 1w
active
polymarket

by March 31, 2027

Trade
6%
Yes 7¢No 95¢
2¢
$5,632
$4,297
2%
N/A
N/A
5mo 6d
active
kalshi

Before January 2027

Trade
3%
Yes 3¢No 99¢
2¢
N/A
$1,743,134
0.1%
N/A
$822,781
3mo 6d
active
polymarket

by December 31, 2026

Trade
2%
Yes 2.7¢No 97.8¢
0.5¢
$68,178
$2,877,265
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2.7%
Yes 2.8¢No 98.4¢
Avg: 1.3¢Max: 2¢
kalshi

Before June 2026

View
1%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,394,595
N/A
N/A
$2,669,461
3mo 6d
No
polymarket

by June 30, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,066,952
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

by December 31, 2025

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,555,670
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Before September 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,019,377
N/A
N/A
$502,964
3mo 6d
No
kalshi

Before August 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$889,445
N/A
N/A
$486,032
3mo 6d
No
polymarket

by September 30, 2025

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$778,900
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Before July 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$424,577
N/A
N/A
$377,079
3mo 6d
No
polymarket

by March 31, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This group forecasts when Bitcoin will reach a price of $150,000. Markets exist across different platforms with varying timelines for resolution, ranging from September 2024 to December 2027. The core question revolves around whether Bitcoin's price will sustain a level of $150,000 based on exchange data.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The platforms diverge on specific resolution dates and allow for custom dates on Kalshi, while Polymarket is fixed to specific dates. Kalshi also uses a slightly lower threshold ($149,999.99 vs $150,000).Hero tip: Pay close attention to the resolution dates and thresholds when comparing markets across platforms. Kalshi's ability to create custom markets introduces additional complexity.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolution is based on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle 'High' price reaching or exceeding $150,000 by a specific date (e.g., September 30, December 31). "This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title."
  • Kalshi: Resolution is based on Bitcoin price exceeding $149,999.99 by a specified date. Kalshi allows for custom dates and times. "If the price of Bitcoin is above 149999.99 by May 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

When will Bitcoin hit $150k

Kalshi

If the price of Bitcoin is above 149999.99 by May 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. If the price of Bitcoin is above 149999.99 by || Date || at || Time ||, then the market resolves to Yes. If the price of Bitcoin is above || Count || by || Date || at || Time ||, then the market resolves to Yes.