TOTAL VOLUME:

$26.9b

24H VOL:

$53,643,865

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,063,853,505

56,734

Markets across

1,194

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

96

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

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What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
polymarket
kalshi

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

Total volume:
$60,550,898
Volume 24h:
$665,035
7%
Liquidity:
$4,012,350
6%
Open interest:
$184,577
6%

↓ 75,000

 - Polymarket

↓ 75,000 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

81%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 82¢ buys you 122 shares | Odds: 81% Total Payout: $122 | Net Profit: $22 Multiplier: 1.22x | ROI: 22% | APY: 77% 126 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

↓ 75,000

Trade
81%
2%
Yes 82¢No 20¢
2¢
$50,655
$7,395
553%
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑ 85,000

Trade
73%
2%
Yes 74¢No 28¢
2¢
$84,803
$604,656
4%
181%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↓ 70,000

Trade
62%
1%
Yes 62¢No 39¢
1¢
$52,687
$43,726
104%
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑ 90,000

Trade
54%
Yes 54¢No 47¢
1¢
$94,803
$1,666,530
2%
20%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↓ 65,000

Trade
42%
Yes 42¢No 59¢
1¢
$40,708
$16,075
69%
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑ 95,000

Trade
39%
Yes 40¢No 62¢
2¢
$65,927
$361,484
13%
104%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑ 100,000

Trade
28%
3%
Yes 29¢No 72¢
1¢
$92,550
$3,014,916
1%
17%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↓ 55,000

Trade
28%
1%
Yes 28¢No 73¢
1¢
$143,903
$507,990
1%
353%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↓ 55,000

Trade
21%
1%
Yes 22¢No 80¢
2¢
$127,591
$5,710,157
0.57%
10%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑ 110,000

Trade
19%
3%
Yes 19¢No 82¢
1¢
$92,342
$1,474,284
0.38%
17%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
kalshi

50,000 first

Trade
17%
Yes 20¢No 83¢
3¢
N/A
$472,549
5%
N/A
$184,577
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑ 120,000

Trade
13%
1%
Yes 13¢No 88¢
1¢
$88,903
$1,581,378
0.79%
14%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↓ 50,000

Trade
12%
Yes 12¢No 89¢
1¢
$192,425
$3,203,356
0.68%
14%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↓ 45,000

Trade
10%
Yes 10¢No 91¢
1¢
$420,675
$5,642,490
0.25%
16%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑ 130,000

Trade
7%
Yes 7.3¢No 93¢
0.3¢
$106,954
$1,246,560
1%
9%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↓ 40,000

Trade
7%
Yes 7¢No 94¢
1¢
$137,792
$1,923,188
0.9%
13%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↓ 35,000

Trade
6%
Yes 6¢No 95¢
1¢
$194,731
$2,931,756
1%
4%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑ 140,000

Trade
5%
Yes 5.4¢No 95.6¢
1¢
$102,307
$1,114,077
0.05%
5%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↓ 30,000

Trade
4%
Yes 4.4¢No 95.8¢
0.2¢
$102,183
$800,510
0.65%
11%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑ 150,000

Trade
4%
Yes 3.8¢No 96.7¢
0.5¢
$108,716
$1,136,297
0.04%
7%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑ 160,000

Trade
3%
1%
Yes 3¢No 97.3¢
0.3¢
$123,235
$589,668
0.01%
7%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↓ 25,000

Trade
2%
Yes 2.3¢No 97.8¢
0.1¢
$170,760
$1,241,205
0%
6%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↓ 15,000

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 98.1¢
0.1¢
$85,427
$4,947,282
0%
0.18%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑ 180,000

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 98.1¢
0.1¢
$112,515
$485,492
0.32%
2%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

↓ 10,000

Trade
2%
Yes 1.9¢No 98.4¢
0.3¢
$109,750
$839,091
0.01%
0.47%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
Total markets: 25 of 47

Description

This group of markets focuses on predicting whether Bitcoin will reach or dip to specific price levels by December 31, 2026. The markets cover a wide range of price points, from $5,000 up to $1,000,000, and use Binance 1-minute candle data for resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets uniformly use Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data with consistent timing and threshold logicPrimary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data

Core resolution logic:

  • Reach markets resolve to Yes if any candle's high >= target price
  • Dip markets resolve to Yes if any candle's low <= target price
  • All markets consider data from creation date through December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Pre-creation price action: Price action before market creation is explicitly excluded from consideration
  • Exact timestamp matching: Markets with specific start times (e.g., November 24, 2025, 14:00 ET) only consider data from that exact timestamp forward
Timing: Resolution occurs after December 31, 2026, based on complete historical data from BinanceOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What price will Bitcoin hit before 2027?

Kalshi

If BTC reaches $50,000 before reaching $100,000 between Issuance and 11:59 PM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.