TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.1b

24H VOL:

$108,040,032

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,819,523,799

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,638,571,346

66,513

Markets across

1,349

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

139

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

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What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
polymarket
kalshi

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

Total volume:
$121,739,464
Volume 24h:
$5,695,542N/A
Liquidity:
$4,163,587
12%
Open interest:
$10,932,522
0.33%

↑ 90,000

 - Polymarket

↑ 90,000 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

45%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 45¢ buys you 222 shares | Odds: 45% Total Payout: $222 | Net Profit: $122 Multiplier: 2.22x | ROI: 122% High Projected APY: 7,648% 66 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

↑ 90,000

Trade
45%
Yes 45¢No 56¢
1¢
$93,732
$2,535,354
0.15%
N/A
N/A
2mo 6d
active
polymarket

↓ 70,000

Trade
42%
3%
Yes 42¢No 59¢
1¢
$70,717
$1,298,183
0.37%
N/A
N/A
2mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑ 95,000

Trade
26%
4%
Yes 26¢No 75¢
1¢
$76,161
$994,620
0.19%
N/A
N/A
2mo 6d
active
polymarket

↓ 65,000

Trade
26%
3%
Yes 26¢No 75¢
1¢
$72,681
$690,620
0.83%
N/A
N/A
2mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑ 100,000

Trade
18%
Yes 18¢No 83¢
1¢
$83,570
$3,967,976
0.34%
N/A
N/A
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

80,000 to 84,999.99

Trade
16%
Yes 16.2¢No 84.3¢
0.5¢
N/A
$3,170,185
1%
N/A
$316,722
2mo 6d
active
polymarket

↓ 55,000

Trade
16%
Yes 16¢No 85¢
1¢
$119,447
$1,410,010
0.09%
N/A
N/A
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

75,000 to 79,999.99

Trade
15%
1%
Yes 15.7¢No 84.7¢
0.4¢
N/A
$3,260,888
1%
N/A
$268,926
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

85,000 to 89,999.99

Trade
14%
1%
Yes 13.6¢No 86.5¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,376,225
0.26%
N/A
$329,411
2mo 6d
active
polymarket

↓ 55,000

Trade
12%
Yes 12¢No 89¢
1¢
$227,115
$6,942,407
0.53%
N/A
N/A
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

70,000 to 74,999.99

Trade
10%
1%
Yes 11¢No 89.3¢
0.3¢
N/A
$2,551,670
0.2%
N/A
$288,599
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

90,000 to 94,999.99

Trade
9%
2%
Yes 9.5¢No 91.4¢
0.9¢
N/A
$1,481,502
0.73%
N/A
$384,738
2mo 6d
active
polymarket

↓ 50,000

Trade
8%
Yes 8¢No 93¢
1¢
$149,515
$5,061,343
0.42%
N/A
N/A
2mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑ 110,000

Trade
8%
Yes 8¢No 93¢
1¢
$122,299
$2,097,460
0.25%
N/A
N/A
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

95,000 to 99,999.99

Trade
7%
1%
Yes 7¢No 93.3¢
0.3¢
N/A
$942,908
2%
N/A
$389,968
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

65,000 to 69,999.99

Trade
6%
Yes 6.2¢No 93.9¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,562,214
0.18%
N/A
$338,142
2mo 6d
active
polymarket

↓ 45,000

Trade
6%
Yes 5.7¢No 94.5¢
0.2¢
$240,595
$8,816,745
0.11%
N/A
N/A
2mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑ 120,000

Trade
5%
Yes 5¢No 96¢
1¢
$93,333
$2,269,632
0.02%
N/A
N/A
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

100,000 to 104,999.99

Trade
4%
1%
Yes 4¢No 96.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,026,655
0.04%
N/A
$389,799
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

60,000 to 64,999.99

Trade
4%
Yes 3.7¢No 96.5¢
0.2¢
N/A
$2,479,711
0.13%
N/A
$378,915
2mo 6d
active
polymarket

↓ 40,000

Trade
3%
Yes 3.2¢No 96.9¢
0.1¢
$87,442
$2,726,014
0.01%
N/A
N/A
2mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑ 130,000

Trade
3%
Yes 3.2¢No 96.9¢
0.1¢
$160,629
$2,032,119
0.25%
N/A
N/A
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

55,000 to 59,999.99

Trade
3%
1%
Yes 2.9¢No 97.2¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,456,473
0.61%
N/A
$399,588
2mo 6d
active
polymarket

↑ 140,000

Trade
3%
Yes 2.6¢No 97.5¢
0.1¢
$147,897
$1,374,672
0.01%
N/A
N/A
2mo 6d
active
polymarket

↓ 35,000

Trade
3%
Yes 2.6¢No 97.5¢
0.1¢
$114,783
$3,661,959
0.94%
N/A
N/A
2mo 6d
active
Total markets: 25 of 74

Description

This group of markets asks forecasters to predict the price of Bitcoin (BTC) in USD by December 31, 2026. Markets cover both potential price highs and lows, ranging from $5,000 to $500,000.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The markets diverge in their underlying asset and resolution source. Polymarket uses Binance BTC/USDT spot prices, while Kalshi uses the CF Benchmarks Rate Index (BRTI).Hero tip: Consider the differences in the underlying assets when making predictions. BRTI is a benchmark rate, while Binance is a specific exchange. They may not move in perfect correlation.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'Yes' if a 1-minute Binance BTC/USDT candle's High or Low price reaches the specified target by December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET. "...any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT...has a final High or Low price equal to or beyond..."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if the 60-second simple average of CF Benchmarks' BRTI is within a specified range at 12:00 AM EST on January 1, 2027. "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is..."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What price will Bitcoin hit before 2027?

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the simple average of sixty consecutive seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI (Bitcoin Real Time Index) prices collected immediately before 12:00 AM EST on January 1, 2027. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price range, with ranges spanning $5,000 increments from below $20,000 to above $150,000. The official price is calculated as the mean of these 60 one-second RTI snapshots, not prices from consumer-facing exchanges. Exactly one outcome will resolve based on where the calculated average falls within the defined ranges.