TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.6b

24H VOL:

$113,284,831

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,858,735,640

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,620,345,032

79,029

Markets across

1,359

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

138

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

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What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
polymarket
kalshi

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

Total volume:
$31,004,734
Volume 24h:
$1,132,201
4%
Liquidity:
$2,096,511
6%
Open interest:
$723,428
0.65%

↓ 2,250

 - Polymarket

↓ 2,250 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?

84%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 85¢ buys you 118 shares | Odds: 84% Total Payout: $118 | Net Profit: $18 Multiplier: 1.18x | ROI: 18% | APY: 146% 65 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

↓ 2,250

Trade
84%
4%
Yes 85¢No 17¢
2¢
$62,738
$1,526,891
0.35%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

↓ 2,000

Trade
43%
8%
Yes 43¢No 58¢
1¢
$66,849
$597,605
0.04%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

↑ 3,000

Trade
24%
1%
Yes 24¢No 77¢
1¢
$73,336
$286,672
0.18%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

2,250 to 2,499.99

Trade
19%
1%
Yes 18.7¢No 81.4¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,244,371
0%
N/A
$47,972
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

2,000 to 2,249.99

Trade
17%
1%
Yes 18.2¢No 82.3¢
0.5¢
N/A
$1,270,791
0.23%
N/A
$50,416
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

↓ 1,750

Trade
17%
2%
Yes 17¢No 84¢
1¢
$71,835
$781,788
0.6%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

2,500 to 2,749.99

Trade
16%
Yes 16.4¢No 84.1¢
0.5¢
N/A
$1,171,606
0.01%
N/A
$56,024
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

↓ 1,500

Trade
12%
2%
Yes 12.1¢No 88.5¢
0.6¢
$139,782
$3,266,616
0.24%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

↑ 3,500

Trade
12%
1%
Yes 12¢No 89¢
1¢
$99,560
$1,029,469
0.03%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

2,750 to 2,999.99

Trade
10%
Yes 10.1¢No 90.1¢
0.2¢
N/A
$1,087,546
0.11%
N/A
$54,122
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

1,750 to 1,999.99

Trade
10%
1%
Yes 10¢No 90.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,157,437
0.11%
N/A
$50,306
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

↓ 1,250

Trade
10%
1%
Yes 10¢No 91¢
1¢
$80,137
$920,559
1%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

3,000 to 3,249.99

Trade
7%
1%
Yes 7.2¢No 92.9¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,062,005
0.09%
N/A
$56,045
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

↑ 4,000

Trade
7%
1%
Yes 7¢No 94¢
1¢
$120,246
$644,207
0.19%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

1,500 to 1,749.99

Trade
4%
1%
Yes 4.5¢No 95.7¢
0.2¢
N/A
$1,016,036
0.24%
N/A
$42,400
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

↑ 4,500

Trade
4%
Yes 4.3¢No 96.1¢
0.4¢
$123,734
$589,641
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

3,250 to 3,499.99

Trade
3%
Yes 3.3¢No 96.8¢
0.1¢
N/A
$121,939
0.23%
N/A
$29,937
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

↓ 1,000

Trade
4%
Yes 3.9¢No 96.9¢
0.8¢
$110,511
$2,418,160
0.01%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

999.99 or below

Trade
2%
Yes 2.1¢No 98¢
0.1¢
N/A
$999,412
0%
N/A
$34,944
2mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3.1%
Yes 3¢No 97.4¢
Avg: 0.5¢Max: 0.8¢
kalshi

5,000 or above

Trade
3%
Yes 3.2¢No 96.9¢
0.1¢
N/A
$865,015
0%
N/A
$67,346
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

↑ 5,000

Trade
3%
Yes 3.1¢No 97.1¢
0.2¢
$122,835
$572,936
0.15%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3.1%
Yes 3.2¢No 97¢
Avg: 0.2¢Max: 0.2¢
polymarket

↓ 800

Trade
3%
Yes 3.1¢No 97.9¢
1¢
$100,207
$1,731,700
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

↑ 5,500

Trade
2%
Yes 2.5¢No 97.6¢
0.1¢
$104,304
$332,270
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

1,250 to 1,499.99

Trade
2%
Yes 2.7¢No 97.6¢
0.3¢
N/A
$1,015,029
0.52%
N/A
$33,938
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

3,500 to 3,749.99

Trade
2%
Yes 2.2¢No 97.9¢
0.1¢
N/A
$70,393
0.03%
N/A
$31,988
2mo 5d
active
Total markets: 25 of 48

Description

This group of prediction markets asks whether the price of Ethereum (ETH) will reach specific levels (both above and below) by December 31, 2026. Markets cover a wide range of potential price points, from $500 to $10,000, and also ask about potential price dips.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The markets utilize different price sources and methodologies for determining Ethereum's price, creating a potential for divergent resolutions.Hero tip: Consider the different methodologies when evaluating these markets. Polymarket's reliance on Binance's 1-minute candles makes it more susceptible to short-term volatility, while Kalshi's average over 60 seconds may smooth out fluctuations.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the High or Low price of ETH/USDT on Binance, using 1-minute candles. Resolution occurs if the price is hit at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET. "Price action before this market's creation will not be considered."
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the 60-second simple average of CF Benchmarks' ETHUSD_RTI at 12 AM EST on January 1, 2027. Markets resolve based on whether the average falls within specific price ranges.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What price will Ethereum hit before 2027?

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the simple average of sixty consecutive seconds of CF Benchmarks' ETHUSD_RTI (Ethereum-USD Real Time Index) prices collected immediately before 12:00 AM EST on January 1, 2027. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price range, with ranges spanning $250 increments from below $1,000 to above $5,000. The official price is calculated as the mean of these 60 one-second RTI snapshots, not prices from consumer-facing exchanges. Exactly one outcome will resolve based on where the calculated average falls within the defined ranges.