TOTAL VOLUME:
$27.2b
24H VOL:
$75,165,326
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,380,975,298
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,095,709,366
58,436
Markets across
1,256
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
98
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
53%
VS.
Kalshi:
47%
$500M
- Predict
$500M - Predict
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Jan 1, 2028
Latest in Crypto
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
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Intro
This market tracks whether Variational's token will achieve a fully diluted valuation exceeding $500 million within one day of its public launch. On Predict, the leading outcome carries a probability of 70.8%. Resolution will be determined by Variational's official reporting and credible media consensus, using the total token supply multiplied by the token price as the FDV calculation method. Watch for Variational's token launch announcement, as the resolution window closes at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day immediately following launch, with a hard deadline of December 31, 2027 for any token launch to occur.
Predict
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. The token must be fungible, meaning all units of the token are identical and interchangeable. Examples of qualifying fungible token standards include: - ERC-20 or compatible/derivative standards on any EVM-compatible chain - SPL / SPL Token-2022 standard on Solana - Native blockchain tokens (e.g., a project's own Layer 1 chain coin) - Equivalent fungible token standards on other blockchains Non-fungible tokens such as ERC-1155 tokens will not qualify for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Variational, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
