TOTAL VOLUME:

$26.9b

24H VOL:

$53,643,865

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,063,853,505

56,734

Markets across

1,194

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

96

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

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Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?
predict

Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?

May 8, 2026, 12:46 PM EST - Jan 1, 2027, 12:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$533,079
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
$308,816
0%
Open interest:
N/AN/A

December 31, 2026

 - Predict

December 31, 2026 - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

28%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 28.2¢ buys you 355 shares | Odds: 28% Total Payout: $355 | Net Profit: $255 Multiplier: 3.55x | ROI: 255% High Projected APY: 2,430% 126 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

December 31, 2026

Trade
28%
Yes 28.2¢No 72.4¢
0.6¢
$38,204
$280,248
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
predict

September 30, 2026

Trade
2%
Yes 2.6¢No 98.1¢
0.7¢
$270,612
$186,878
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
predict

June 30, 2026

View
N/A
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65,953
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Predict

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.