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Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
kalshi

Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?

Jan 1, 2026, 10:00 AM EST - Jan 1, 2027, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$525,630
Volume 24h:
$9,931
952%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$243,172
1%

Before 2027

 - Kalshi

Before 2027 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will there be an at least 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?

3%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 3¢ buys you 3,333 shares | Odds: 3% Total Payout: $3,333 | Net Profit: $3,233 Multiplier: 33.33x | ROI: 3,233% APY not meaningful 67 days to resolution
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Before 2027

Trade
3%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$525,630
2%
N/A
$243,172
2mo 1w
active
Total markets: 1

Description

This event concerns the potential occurrence of a major seismic event in California or its surrounding waters. Specifically, it tracks whether a significant earthquake will strike the region before the start of 2027.

Kalshi

If there is at least an earthquake of 8 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.