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Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
kalshi

Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?

Jan 1, 2026, 10:00 AM EST - Jan 1, 2027, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$441,433
Volume 24h:
$1,582
1,166%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$225,334
0.45%

Before 2027

 - Kalshi

Before 2027 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will there be an at least 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?

6%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 6¢ buys you 1,667 shares | Odds: 6% Total Payout: $1,667 | Net Profit: $1,567 Multiplier: 16.67x | ROI: 1,567% APY not meaningful 125 days to resolution
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Before 2027

Trade
6%
Yes 6¢No 95¢
1¢
N/A
$441,433
0.36%
3%
$225,334
4mo 5d
active
Total markets: 1

Description

This event concerns the potential occurrence of a major seismic event in California or its surrounding waters. Specifically, it tracks whether a significant earthquake will strike the region before the start of 2027.

Kalshi

If there is at least an earthquake of 8 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.