TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.6b

24H VOL:

$113,284,831

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,858,735,640

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,620,345,032

79,029

Markets across

1,359

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

138

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

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Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
polymarket

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

Feb 4, 2026, 1:23 PM EST - Dec 31, 2027, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$529,245
Volume 24h:
$90,208N/A
Liquidity:
$142,968
2%
Open interest:
$33,695N/A

600B+

 - Polymarket

600B+ - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2027

Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

96%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 97.5¢ buys you 103 shares | Odds: 96% Total Payout: $103 | Net Profit: $3 Multiplier: 1.03x | ROI: 3% | APY: 2% 430 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

600B+

Trade
96%
Yes 97.5¢No 5.5¢
3¢
$14,039
$63,289
0%
N/A
N/A
1y 2mo
active
polymarket

No IPO by December 31, 2027

3%
Yes 3.7¢No 97.9¢
1.6¢
$22,725
$50,111
1%
N/A
N/A
1y 2mo
active
polymarket

400–600B

1%
Yes 1.6¢No 99.5¢
1.1¢
$19,088
$33,552
1%
N/A
N/A
1y 2mo
active
polymarket

200–300B

1%
Yes 1¢No 99.5¢
—
$18,788
$32,136
0.01%
N/A
N/A
1y 2mo
active
polymarket

300–400B

0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
—
$20,860
$83,736
0%
N/A
N/A
1y 2mo
active
polymarket

<100B

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$22,854
$177,607
0%
N/A
N/A
1y 2mo
active
polymarket

100–200B

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$24,615
$88,814
0%
N/A
N/A
1y 2mo
active
Total markets: 7

Description

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Polymarket

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.