TOTAL VOLUME:
$41.6b
24H VOL:
$166,080,299
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,821,293,142
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,630,424,680
73,083
Markets across
1,369
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
139
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
45%
VS.
Kalshi:
55%
This set of markets will determine whether Bitcoin's price, measured by a specific benchmark index, reaches various thresholds by a fixed date and time. Each threshold represents a different price level that Bitcoin must exceed for the corresponding market to settle as 'Yes'. The outcomes reflect potential price movements and volatility in the cryptocurrency market.
All markets share a common structure for determining Bitcoin's price at 5 PM EDT on October 26, 2026. Each market specifies a unique price threshold, and the outcome (Yes/No) depends on whether the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) immediately before 5 PM EDT exceeds that threshold. The official price is calculated from the average of 60 BRTI prices collected in the final minute before expiration. While external sources like Google or Coinbase may offer indicative values, only the CF Benchmarks BRTI is used for resolution. The markets collectively test multiple potential price points, with each threshold incrementally higher than the last, allowing for a detailed assessment of Bitcoin's performance against various price levels on the specified date and time.