TOTAL VOLUME:

$26.9b

24H VOL:

$53,643,865

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,063,853,505

56,734

Markets across

1,194

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

96

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

BETA
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Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
polymarket

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Apr 29, 2026, 7:56 PM EST - Sep 15, 2026, 8:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$801,153
Volume 24h:
$11,225
7,244%
Liquidity:
$59,703
40%
Open interest:
$137,501N/A

Pause–Pause–Pause

 - Polymarket

Pause–Pause–Pause - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 16, 2026

Time left: 19d:14h:14m

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

67%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 68¢ buys you 147 shares | Odds: 67% Total Payout: $147 | Net Profit: $47 Multiplier: 1.47x | ROI: 47% APY not meaningful 19 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Pause–Pause–Pause

Trade
67%
Yes 68¢No 34¢
$10,446
$306,793
1%
5%
N/A
2w 5d 14h
active
polymarket

Other

33%
Yes 34¢No 68¢
$20,678
$344,792
0.8%
7%
N/A
2w 5d 14h
active
polymarket

Pause–Pause–Cut

1%
Yes 1.6¢No 99.6¢
1.2¢
$28,579
$93,692
5%
15%
N/A
2w 5d 14h
active
polymarket

Pause–Cut–Pause

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$30,491
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 5d 14h
No
polymarket

Pause–Cut–Cut

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$17,736
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 5d 14h
No
polymarket

Cut–Pause–Pause

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$2,241
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 5d 14h
No
polymarket

Cut–Pause–Cut

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$2,230
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 5d 14h
No
polymarket

Cut–Cut–Cut

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$1,915
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 5d 14h
No
polymarket

Cut–Cut–Pause

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$1,265
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 5d 14h
No
Total markets: 9

Description

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

Polymarket

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm