TOTAL VOLUME:

$26.9b

24H VOL:

$53,643,865

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,063,853,505

56,734

Markets across

1,194

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

96

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

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Fed rate hike in 2026?
polymarket

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Dec 10, 2025, 4:10 PM EST - Dec 8, 2026, 7:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$8,001,375
Volume 24h:
$1,350
98%
Liquidity:
$130,218
2%
Open interest:
$1,419,471N/A

Fed rate hike in 2026?

 - Polymarket

Fed rate hike in 2026? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 9, 2026

Fed rate hike in 2026?

56%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 57¢ buys you 175 shares | Odds: 56% Total Payout: $175 | Net Profit: $75 Multiplier: 1.75x | ROI: 75% High Projected APY: 619% 103 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Trade
56%
Yes 57¢No 44¢
$130,218
$8,001,375
0%
4%
N/A
3mo 1w 6d
active
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.