TOTAL VOLUME:

$26.9b

24H VOL:

$53,643,865

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,063,853,505

56,734

Markets across

1,194

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

96

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

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Fed rate hike in 2026?
predict

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Jan 8, 2026, 10:37 AM EST - Dec 8, 2026, 7:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$6,049,304
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
$145,623
0%
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Fed rate hike in 2026?

 - Predict

Fed rate hike in 2026? - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 9, 2026

Fed rate hike in 2026?

61%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 61.6¢ buys you 162 shares | Odds: 61% Total Payout: $162 | Net Profit: $62 Multiplier: 1.62x | ROI: 62% | APY: 336% 103 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Trade
61%
Yes 61.6¢No 40.2¢
1.8¢
$145,623
$6,049,304
0%
0%
N/A
3mo 1w 6d
active
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Predict

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.