TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.1b

24H VOL:

$94,100,224

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,819,523,799

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,635,541,893

67,901

Markets across

1,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

139

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

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Gold price at year end?
kalshi

Gold price at year end?

May 30, 2026, 10:00 AM EST - Dec 31, 2026, 5:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$354,090
Volume 24h:
$3,072
80%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$164,929
0.64%

4,300 or above

 - Kalshi

4,300 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Will the price of Gold be above 4300 on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST?

39%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 35¢ buys you 286 shares | Odds: 39% Total Payout: $286 | Net Profit: $186 Multiplier: 2.86x | ROI: 186% APY not meaningful 66 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4,300 or above

Trade
39%
1%
Yes 35¢No 69¢
4¢
N/A
$73,035
2%
N/A
$33,488
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

4,400 or above

Trade
31%
1%
Yes 32¢No 71¢
3¢
N/A
$65,003
1%
N/A
$20,554
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

4,500 or above

Trade
31%
5%
Yes 29¢No 78¢
7¢
N/A
$31,717
2%
N/A
$18,292
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

4,700 or above

Trade
15%
6%
Yes 15¢No 90¢
5¢
N/A
$17,489
1%
N/A
$9,217
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

4,800 or above

Trade
14%
Yes 15¢No 91¢
6¢
N/A
$26,743
1%
N/A
$16,242
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

4,600 or above

Trade
12%
Yes 12¢No 91¢
3¢
N/A
$27,544
0.53%
N/A
$12,643
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

5,000 or above

Trade
9%
Yes 7¢No 96¢
3¢
N/A
$19,434
0%
N/A
$10,744
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

5,100 or above

Trade
6%
Yes 6¢No 96¢
2¢
N/A
$10,629
0%
N/A
$4,610
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

4,900 or above

Trade
6%
Yes 7¢No 96¢
3¢
N/A
$22,766
0%
N/A
$10,368
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

5,300 or above

Trade
5%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
1¢
N/A
$7,327
0%
N/A
$3,901
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

5,500 or above

Trade
4%
Yes 5¢No 97¢
2¢
N/A
$30,250
0.02%
N/A
$15,920
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

5,200 or above

Trade
4%
Yes 5¢No 99¢
4¢
N/A
$8,789
0%
N/A
$3,126
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

5,400 or above

Trade
2%
Yes 6¢No 98¢
4¢
N/A
$13,363
0%
N/A
$5,822
2mo 6d
active
Total markets: 13

Description

This event tracks the performance of gold prices at the close of trading on December 31, 2026. It focuses on whether the price meets or exceeds various thresholds, providing insight into potential precious metal valuation trends by year-end. The verification uses a reliable data source to confirm the final price.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the closing price of gold on December 31, 2026, at 05:00 PM EST, specifically examining whether it surpasses one of several predefined thresholds ranging from 4300 USD per troy ounce to 5500 USD per troy ounce. Each threshold represents a distinct market outcome, where the market resolves to 'Yes' if the closing price meets or exceeds that specific level. All outcomes are verified using data from Pyth, ensuring accuracy and reliability. The structure allows participants to assess varying levels of gold price performance, offering granular perspectives on potential valuation outcomes by the specified date and time.