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How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
polymarket

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Nov 12, 2025, 5:49 PM EST - Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$1,109,728
Volume 24h:
$359,731N/A
Liquidity:
$40,276
38%
Open interest:
$126,932N/A

5.3%

 - Polymarket

5.3% - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?

42%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 43¢ buys you 233 shares | Odds: 42% Total Payout: $233 | Net Profit: $133 Multiplier: 2.33x | ROI: 133% APY not meaningful Low liquidity 65 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

5.3%

Trade
42%
4%
Yes 43¢No 60¢
3¢
$488
$948
21%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

5.4%

Trade
25%
3%
Yes 25¢No 76¢
1¢
$8,954
$85,606
0.67%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

5.5%

Trade
13%
Yes 13.2¢No 88¢
1.2¢
$10,409
$226,730
0.32%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

5.7%

Trade
4%
Yes 4.8¢No 97.8¢
2.6¢
$8,674
$126,991
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

6.0%

Trade
3%
Yes 4.2¢No 97.9¢
2.1¢
$11,752
$118,515
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

5.2%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$165,792
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
Yes
polymarket

5.0%

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$138,958
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 4d
Yes
polymarket

4.8%

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$75,857
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 4d
Yes
polymarket

4.6%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$41,896
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 4d
Yes
polymarket

5.3%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$39,043
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
Yes
polymarket

4.5%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$37,423
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 4d
Yes
polymarket

5.1%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25,001
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 4d
Yes
polymarket

4.4%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,930
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 4d
Yes
polymarket

4.3%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,037
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 4d
Yes
Total markets: 14

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).