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How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
polymarket

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Nov 12, 2025, 5:49 PM EST - Dec 30, 2026, 7:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$289,379
Volume 24h:
$52
93%
Liquidity:
$7,191
1%
Open interest:
$92,522N/A

4.8%

 - Polymarket

4.8% - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?

65%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 66¢ buys you 152 shares | Odds: 65% Total Payout: $152 | Net Profit: $52 Multiplier: 1.52x | ROI: 52% | APY: 233% Low liquidity 125 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

4.8%

Trade
65%
Yes 66¢No 37¢
3¢
$686
$60,234
0.08%
0.97%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

5.0%

Trade
17%
Yes 17¢No 84¢
1¢
$3,115
$82,705
0%
2%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

5.2%

Trade
10%
Yes 11.6¢No 92.1¢
3.7¢
$1,665
$26,427
0%
0.17%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

5.5%

Trade
6%
Yes 7¢No 95¢
2¢
$1,154
$5,918
0%
1%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

6.0%

Trade
5%
Yes 6.2¢No 96¢
2.2¢
$392
$3,523
0.03%
12%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

5.7%

Trade
5%
Yes 6.9¢No 96.9¢
3.8¢
$178
$4,286
0%
0.56%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

4.6%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$41,896
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 5d
Yes
polymarket

4.5%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$37,423
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 5d
Yes
polymarket

4.4%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20,930
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 5d
Yes
polymarket

4.3%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,037
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 5d
Yes
Total markets: 10

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).