TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.6b

24H VOL:

$113,284,831

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,858,735,640

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,620,345,032

79,029

Markets across

1,359

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

138

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

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How high will the S&P get this year?
kalshi

How high will the S&P get this year?

Jan 1, 2026, 12:00 AM EST - Jan 1, 2027, 12:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$1,860,346
Volume 24h:
$34,581
8%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$724,425
4%

8,000 or above

 - Kalshi

8,000 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will the maximum SP500 value reach 7999.99 by Jan 1, 2027?

52%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 51.5¢ buys you 194 shares | Odds: 52% Total Payout: $194 | Net Profit: $94 Multiplier: 1.94x | ROI: 94% High Projected APY: 3,824% 65 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

8,000 or above

Trade
52%
4%
Yes 51.5¢No 52.9¢
4.4¢
N/A
$428,672
0.15%
N/A
$151,800
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

8,200 or above

Trade
18%
2%
Yes 25.4¢No 83.2¢
8.6¢
N/A
$208,902
0.04%
N/A
$90,939
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

8,400 or above

Trade
8%
2%
Yes 10.1¢No 92.3¢
2.4¢
N/A
$130,340
4%
N/A
$50,182
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

8,600 or above

Trade
7%
Yes 6.9¢No 95.9¢
2.8¢
N/A
$110,333
0.21%
N/A
$38,275
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

9,000 or above

Trade
5%
Yes 4¢No 98.4¢
2.4¢
N/A
$96,373
0%
N/A
$52,789
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

8,800 or above

Trade
5%
Yes 4.5¢No 97.3¢
1.8¢
N/A
$58,498
0.36%
N/A
$34,298
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

7,800 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$384,831
N/A
N/A
$157,186
2mo 5d
Yes
kalshi

7,400 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$210,304
N/A
N/A
$61,743
2mo 5d
No
kalshi

7,600 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$232,094
N/A
N/A
$87,211
2mo 5d
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event predicts how high the S&P 500 index will rise during 2026. Each outcome represents a different price ceiling, with resolution based on whether the index reaches or exceeds that level at any point during the year.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the S&P 500 index value between January 1, 2026 and before January 1, 2027. Each outcome resolves to Yes if the index value reaches or exceeds its specified threshold (7399.99, 7599.99, 7799.99, 7999.99, 8199.99, 8399.99, 8599.99, 8799.99, or 8999.99) at any point during this period. The outcomes are nested such that if a higher threshold is reached, all lower thresholds are also satisfied. Resolution is based on the actual index value reaching the specified level, not on closing prices alone.