TOTAL VOLUME:
$41.6b
24H VOL:
$113,284,831
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,858,735,640
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,620,345,032
79,029
Markets across
1,359
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
138
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
45%
VS.
Kalshi:
55%
Below $77,500.00
- Kalshi
Below $77,500.00 - Kalshi
1W
News
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Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 31, 2026
Latest in Crypto
Time left: 04d:18h:23m
Will BTC trimmed mean be below $77500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?
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Description
This event tracks whether Bitcoin's price dips below specific thresholds at any point during October 2026. The focus is on identifying if the cryptocurrency experiences a significant decline over the specified period, reflecting potential market volatility or broader economic factors affecting digital assets.
Kalshi
The event evaluates multiple price thresholds for Bitcoin over the course of October 2026, resolving to 'Yes' if the price falls below any specified level at any moment during the period. Each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using minute-by-minute CF BRTI price data for Bitcoin. To mitigate the impact of extreme price spikes or drops, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are excluded before calculating the average of the remaining values—a trimmed mean—for each minute. If this trimmed mean falls below the relevant threshold for any single minute, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' The measurement period begins at issuance and ends at 11:59 PM ET on October 31, 2026. Should CF Benchmarks data be unavailable or incomplete at expiration, the affected markets resolve to 'No.' The exchange specifies the Bitcoin version or ticker being tracked, ensuring clarity in measurement.
