TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.6b

24H VOL:

$113,284,831

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,858,735,640

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,620,345,032

79,029

Markets across

1,359

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

138

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

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Ink FDV above ___ one day after launch?
polymarket
predict

Ink FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Oct 16, 2025, 11:23 AM EST - Jan 1, 2027, 12:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$1,999,593
Volume 24h:
$953,274
474%
Liquidity:
$229,676
2%
Open interest:
$161,744N/A

$250M

all

2 markets

Predict

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?

25%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 25.1¢ buys you 398 shares | Odds: 25% Total Payout: $398 | Net Profit: $298 Multiplier: 3.98x | ROI: 298% High Projected APY: 3,306% 65 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

$250M

Trade
25%
Yes 25.1¢No 75¢
0.1¢
$14,661
$191,486
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

$250M

Trade
19%
2%
Yes 20¢No 83¢
3¢
$19,612
$165,912
0.43%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
22%
Yes 22.6¢No 79¢
Avg: 1.6¢Max: 3¢
polymarket

$100M

Trade
20%
Yes 21¢No 82¢
3¢
$17,884
$186,066
0.76%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
predict

$500M

Trade
15%
Yes 15.5¢No 85.4¢
0.9¢
$12,276
$408,200
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

$500M

Trade
11%
Yes 11¢No 90¢
1¢
$11,812
$379,922
0.5%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
12.9%
Yes 13.3¢No 87.7¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
predict

$1B

Trade
11%
Yes 10.9¢No 89.2¢
0.1¢
$26,205
$83,442
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

$1B

Trade
7%
1%
Yes 9¢No 95¢
4¢
$18,904
$254,678
0.14%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
8%
Yes 10¢No 92.1¢
Avg: 2.1¢Max: 4¢
predict

$2B

Trade
8%
Yes 8.6¢No 92¢
0.6¢
$21,395
$33,467
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

$2B

Trade
4%
Yes 4.7¢No 95.9¢
0.6¢
$21,124
$29,667
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
6.5%
Yes 6.7¢No 94¢
Avg: 0.6¢Max: 0.6¢
predict

$3B

Trade
5%
Yes 5¢No 95.1¢
0.1¢
$41,985
$232,321
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

$3B

Trade
4%
Yes 4.3¢No 96.8¢
1.1¢
$23,817
$34,432
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
4.8%
Yes 4.7¢No 96¢
Avg: 0.6¢Max: 1.1¢
Total markets: 11

Description

These markets ask whether the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the Ink token will exceed specified thresholds ($100M, $250M, $500M, $1B, $2B, $3B) one day after the token's launch. The markets rely on a publicly tradable token launch to trigger resolution, and have a fail-safe for non-launch by a specified date.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict define resolution identically, relying on the same FDV threshold, launch definition, timing, and fallback condition.Primary resolution logic: Most liquid price source available for Ink token.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution depends on Ink launching a publicly tradable token.
  • FDV is assessed at 4:00 PM ET the day after launch.
  • Markets resolve 'Yes' if FDV exceeds the specified threshold; otherwise 'No'.
  • If no launch occurs by December 31, 2026, markets resolve to 'No'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Launch Definition: The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. Ambiguity around what constitutes 'tradable' could lead to disputes, but both platforms use the same wording.
  • Price Source: The 'most liquid price source' is subjective. Disagreement over which exchange provides the most liquidity could arise, but the platforms are aligned on this criterion.
Timing: Resolution will occur at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the Ink token launch, or on December 31, 2026, if no launch occurs.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ink's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ink (http://inkonchain.com/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Predict

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ink's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ink (http://inkonchain.com/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".