TOTAL VOLUME:

$26.9b

24H VOL:

$53,643,865

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,063,853,505

56,734

Markets across

1,194

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

96

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

BETA
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All
Oil Price (WTI) on Election Day (November 3, 2026)?
kalshi

Oil Price (WTI) on Election Day (November 3, 2026)?

May 6, 2026, 10:00 AM EST - Nov 3, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$670,189
Volume 24h:
$4,005
24%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$328,506
0.74%

Above $62.99

 - Kalshi

Above $62.99 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 62.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 3, 2026?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 6% 68 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $62.99

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 83¢
82¢
N/A
$1,141
0%
3%
$580
2mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

Above $68.99

98%
Yes 98¢No 52¢
50¢
N/A
$420
0%
0.47%
$189
2mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

Above $63.99

98%
Yes 98¢No 97¢
95¢
N/A
$15
0%
15%
$6
2mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

Above $66.49

98%
Yes 99¢No 91¢
90¢
N/A
$12
0%
0%
$12
2mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

Above $67.99

87%
Yes 98¢No 82¢
80¢
N/A
$252
0%
66%
$213
2mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

Above $64.49

86%
Yes 99¢No 98¢
97¢
N/A
$128
0%
0%
$127
2mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

Above $65.49

83%
Yes 99¢No 83¢
82¢
N/A
$34
0%
0%
$12
2mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

Above $68.49

82%
Yes 99¢No 73¢
72¢
N/A
$457
0%
6%
$360
2mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

Above $69.99

78%
Yes 97¢No 45¢
42¢
N/A
$841
0%
37%
$761
2mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

Above $70.49

74%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
N/A
$430
0%
0%
$49
2mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

$73 or above

73%
19%
Yes 73¢No 51¢
24¢
N/A
$36,567
3%
7%
$18,206
2mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

Above $72.49

72%
1%
Yes 72¢No 64¢
36¢
N/A
$534
103%
166%
$403
2mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

Above $69.49

72%
Yes 99¢No 79¢
78¢
N/A
$327
0%
0%
$48
2mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

Above $65.99

72%
Yes 99¢No 91¢
90¢
N/A
$5
0%
0%
$5
2mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

Above $64.99

71%
Yes 99¢No 69¢
68¢
N/A
$159
0%
0%
$87
2mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

Above $71.49

63%
Yes 93¢No 62¢
55¢
N/A
$1,217
0%
58%
$491
2mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

$77 or above

62%
17%
Yes 63¢No 74¢
37¢
N/A
$23,999
0.42%
2%
$12,243
2mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

Above $71.99

61%
Yes 95¢No 65¢
60¢
N/A
$386
8%
25%
$187
2mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

Above $70.99

61%
Yes 97¢No 66¢
63¢
N/A
$223
0%
6%
$189
2mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

$74 or above

60%
Yes 72¢No 85¢
57¢
N/A
$15,458
0%
18%
$4,680
2mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

$75 or above

59%
8%
Yes 67¢No 50¢
17¢
N/A
$17,728
0.66%
7%
$5,545
2mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

$76 or above

54%
5%
Yes 85¢No 85¢
70¢
N/A
$13,465
0.34%
4%
$5,295
2mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

$79 or above

54%
13%
Yes 51¢No 86¢
37¢
N/A
$6,227
0.08%
11%
$3,944
2mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

$87 or above

45%
9%
Yes 44¢No 85¢
29¢
N/A
$13,755
4%
5%
$7,094
2mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

$78 or above

45%
11%
Yes 50¢No 63¢
13¢
N/A
$5,554
4%
6%
$2,905
2mo 1w 1d
active
Total markets: 25 of 65

Description

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil is a key benchmark for global petroleum prices. This event tracks where the front-month settle price for WTI will close on November 3, 2026, the date of the U.S. midterm elections, across a range of price thresholds from $73 to $117 per barrel.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the front-month settle price for West Texas Intermediate crude oil on November 3, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold; the market resolves to Yes for the outcome matching the actual settle price. Prices are evaluated in $1 increments starting at $73 per barrel and continuing through $117 per barrel, with each threshold set at $0.99 above the round dollar amount (e.g., $72.99 for the $73 outcome, $73.99 for the $74 outcome, and so forth). The applicable outcome is determined by identifying which price range the settle price falls into on that date.