TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.1b

24H VOL:

$94,100,224

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,819,523,799

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,635,541,893

67,901

Markets across

1,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

139

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

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World
Oil Price (WTI) on Election Day (November 3, 2026)?
kalshi

Oil Price (WTI) on Election Day (November 3, 2026)?

May 6, 2026, 10:00 AM EST - Nov 3, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$1,053,658
Volume 24h:
$145,405N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$439,766
0.03%

Above $69.99

 - Kalshi

Above $69.99 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 08d:05h:03m

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 69.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 3, 2026?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 58% 8 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $69.99

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 3¢
2¢
N/A
$2,676
0%
N/A
$1,839
1w 1d 5h
active
kalshi

$73 or above

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$50,420
0%
N/A
$16,264
1w 1d 5h
active
kalshi

$76 or above

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 16¢
16¢
N/A
$15,885
0%
N/A
$5,172
1w 1d 5h
active
kalshi

$86 or above

Trade
99%
Yes 98¢No 27¢
25¢
N/A
$14,114
0%
N/A
$6,050
1w 1d 5h
active
kalshi

Above $70.99

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$3,546
0.08%
N/A
$2,420
1w 1d 5h
active
kalshi

Above $62.99

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 30¢
30¢
N/A
$1,807
0%
N/A
$766
1w 1d 5h
active
kalshi

Above $70.49

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 5¢
4¢
N/A
$1,456
0%
N/A
$981
1w 1d 5h
active
kalshi

Above $62.49

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 25¢
25¢
N/A
$1,339
0%
N/A
$1,334
1w 1d 5h
active
kalshi

Above $64.99

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 80¢
80¢
N/A
$966
0%
N/A
$891
1w 1d 5h
active
kalshi

Above $67.99

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 80¢
79¢
N/A
$865
0%
N/A
$649
1w 1d 5h
active
kalshi

Above $65.99

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 63¢
63¢
N/A
$810
0%
N/A
$805
1w 1d 5h
active
kalshi

Above $66.99

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 80¢
79¢
N/A
$524
0%
N/A
$514
1w 1d 5h
active
kalshi

Above $57.99

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 2¢
2¢
N/A
$329
0.01%
N/A
$320
1w 1d 5h
active
kalshi

$75 or above

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 3¢
2¢
N/A
$24,773
0%
N/A
$4,838
1w 1d 5h
active
kalshi

$77 or above

Trade
98%
Yes 99¢No 5¢
4¢
N/A
$33,016
0%
N/A
$14,045
1w 1d 5h
active
kalshi

Above $63.99

Trade
98%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$2,139
0.09%
N/A
$2,044
1w 1d 5h
active
kalshi

Above $61.49

Trade
98%
Yes 100¢No 25¢
25¢
N/A
$1,311
0%
N/A
$1,310
1w 1d 5h
active
kalshi

Above $61.99

Trade
98%
Yes 100¢No 25¢
25¢
N/A
$1,309
0%
N/A
$1,309
1w 1d 5h
active
kalshi

Above $69.49

Trade
98%
Yes 99¢No 75¢
74¢
N/A
$996
0%
N/A
$611
1w 1d 5h
active
kalshi

Above $68.99

Trade
98%
Yes 99¢No 4¢
3¢
N/A
$973
0%
N/A
$702
1w 1d 5h
active
kalshi

Above $65.49

Trade
98%
Yes 99¢No 3¢
2¢
N/A
$962
0.1%
N/A
$873
1w 1d 5h
active
kalshi

Above $66.49

Trade
98%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$839
0.12%
N/A
$832
1w 1d 5h
active
kalshi

Above $71.99

Trade
98%
Yes 99¢No 24¢
23¢
N/A
$831
0%
N/A
$558
1w 1d 5h
active
kalshi

Above $60.49

Trade
98%
Yes 100¢No 25¢
25¢
N/A
$820
0%
N/A
$815
1w 1d 5h
active
kalshi

Above $59.99

Trade
98%
Yes 100¢No 7¢
7¢
N/A
$810
0%
N/A
$810
1w 1d 5h
active
Total markets: 25 of 75

Description

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil is a key benchmark for global petroleum prices. This event tracks where the front-month settle price for WTI will close on November 3, 2026, the date of the U.S. midterm elections, across a range of price thresholds from $73 to $117 per barrel.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the front-month settle price for West Texas Intermediate crude oil on November 3, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold; the market resolves to Yes for the outcome matching the actual settle price. Prices are evaluated in $1 increments starting at $73 per barrel and continuing through $117 per barrel, with each threshold set at $0.99 above the round dollar amount (e.g., $72.99 for the $73 outcome, $73.99 for the $74 outcome, and so forth). The applicable outcome is determined by identifying which price range the settle price falls into on that date.