TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.6b

24H VOL:

$113,284,831

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,858,735,640

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,620,345,032

79,029

Markets across

1,359

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

138

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

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Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?
polymarket
predict

Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Sep 30, 2025, 1:19 PM EST - Jan 1, 2027, 12:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$29,006,942
Volume 24h:
$22,068,499
8,920,069%
Liquidity:
$1,012,350
0.6%
Open interest:
$399,100N/A

$500M

all

2 markets

Predict

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

13%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 12.8¢ buys you 781 shares | Odds: 13% Total Payout: $781 | Net Profit: $681 Multiplier: 7.81x | ROI: 681% APY not meaningful 65 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

$500M

Trade
13%
Yes 12.8¢No 87.5¢
0.3¢
$28,127
$3,419,970
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

$500M

Trade
7%
Yes 7.7¢No 93.7¢
1.4¢
$27,034
$2,310,464
0.07%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
10.4%
Yes 10.3¢No 90.6¢
Avg: 0.9¢Max: 1.4¢
polymarket

$100M

Trade
9%
2%
Yes 10¢No 92¢
2¢
$1,804
$322,212
0.04%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
predict

$1B

Trade
9%
Yes 9.2¢No 90.9¢
0.1¢
$21,048
$5,434,993
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

$1B

Trade
7%
Yes 7¢No 94¢
1¢
$62,695
$2,146,043
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
8.4%
Yes 8.1¢No 92.5¢
Avg: 0.6¢Max: 1¢
polymarket

$100M

Trade
8%
1%
Yes 8.1¢No 93¢
1.1¢
$18,552
$170,524
0.26%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

$300M

Trade
7%
1%
Yes 8¢No 95¢
3¢
$17,107
$95,504
0.14%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
predict

$2B

Trade
5%
Yes 5¢No 95.4¢
0.4¢
$246,483
$1,638,469
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

$2B

Trade
5%
2%
Yes 5.8¢No 96.6¢
2.4¢
$70,032
$559,200
0.05%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
4.7%
Yes 5.4¢No 96¢
Avg: 1.4¢Max: 2.4¢
polymarket

$3B

Trade
4%
Yes 4.7¢No 96.2¢
0.9¢
$27,563
$837,360
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
predict

$3B

Trade
4%
Yes 3.6¢No 96.5¢
0.1¢
$231,022
$2,277,796
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3.8%
Yes 4.1¢No 96.4¢
Avg: 0.5¢Max: 0.9¢
polymarket

$5B

Trade
3%
Yes 3.8¢No 97.6¢
1.4¢
$28,866
$500,372
0.12%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
predict

$5B

Trade
3%
Yes 2.9¢No 97.2¢
0.1¢
$232,017
$9,294,035
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2.9%
Yes 3.4¢No 97.4¢
Avg: 0.8¢Max: 1.4¢
Total markets: 13

Description

This group of markets asks whether OpenSea's Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) will exceed a specified threshold one day after the launch of its token. The markets cover a range of potential FDV values, from $100M to $5B. Resolution depends on the token being publicly tradable and uses a consistent 4:00 PM ET cutoff on the day following launch.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict utilize identical resolution criteria, timing, and fallback conditions regarding OpenSea's token launch.Primary resolution logic: The most liquid price source available.

Core resolution logic:

  • The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
  • Resolution occurs at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the token launch.
  • The Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the token is compared to the market's specified threshold.
  • If no token is launched by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to 'No'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • No Launch by Deadline: If OpenSea does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all markets will resolve to 'No'.
  • Limited Tradability: If the token is launched but is not actively, publicly transferable and tradable, the market will not resolve and may be cancelled.
  • FDV Source Discrepancy: In the event of conflicting FDV data from different sources, the most liquid price source will be used for resolution.
Timing: 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the token launch, or December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET if no launch occurs.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Predict

This is a group of markets about OpenSea's FDV one day after launch.