TOTAL VOLUME:
$26.9b
24H VOL:
$53,643,865
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,362,287,844
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,063,853,505
56,734
Markets across
1,194
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
96
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
53%
VS.
Kalshi:
47%
$400M
all
2 markets
Polymarket
Predict
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Jan 1, 2028
Latest in Crypto
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
$
Description
This group of markets predicts whether the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of Predict.fun or Dreamcash governance tokens will exceed specified thresholds one day after their respective token launches.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Predict use identical resolution logic for FDV thresholds one day after token launch, with consistent definitions for launch, FDV calculation, and expiration.Primary resolution logic: Most liquid price source availableCore resolution logic:
- FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price
- Token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to count as a launch
- Resolution occurs at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch
- If token does not launch by December 31, 2027, markets resolve to "No"
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Token Launch Ambiguity: If there is disagreement over whether a token launch meets transferability requirements, the market remains unresolved until clarified
- Price Source Dispute: In rare cases where no clear most liquid price source exists, resolution may require community consensus or platform intervention
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Predict
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Dreamcash's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Dreamcash (https://x.com/Dreamcash) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
