TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.6b

24H VOL:

$113,284,831

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,858,735,640

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,620,345,032

79,029

Markets across

1,359

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

138

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

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Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?
polymarket
predict

Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Total volume:
$1,066,606
Volume 24h:
$541,580
129,689%
Liquidity:
$374,795
12%
Open interest:
$56,639N/A

$70M

 - Polymarket

$70M - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?

18%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 19¢ buys you 526 shares | Odds: 18% Total Payout: $526 | Net Profit: $426 Multiplier: 5.26x | ROI: 426% APY not meaningful 65 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$70M

Trade
18%
Yes 19¢No 84¢
3¢
$1,422
$23,385
1%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

$10M

Trade
17%
1%
Yes 17¢No 84¢
1¢
$612
$10,521
0.89%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

$40M

Trade
16%
1%
Yes 18¢No 86¢
4¢
$471
$6,657
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
predict

$150M

Trade
22%
Yes 21.6¢No 78.5¢
0.1¢
$28,990
$66,970
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

$150M

Trade
10%
4%
Yes 12¢No 92¢
4¢
$716
$93,362
0.46%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
14.8%
Yes 16.8¢No 85.3¢
Avg: 2.1¢Max: 4¢
predict

$200M

Trade
16%
Yes 16.1¢No 84¢
0.1¢
$47,532
$156,403
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

$200M

Trade
5%
4%
Yes 5.9¢No 96.7¢
2.6¢
$5,078
$139,720
0.47%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
10.7%
Yes 11¢No 90.4¢
Avg: 1.4¢Max: 2.6¢
predict

$300M

Trade
11%
Yes 10.9¢No 89.2¢
0.1¢
$47,071
$93,315
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

$300M

Trade
6%
Yes 6.9¢No 94.2¢
1.1¢
$4,958
$35,337
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
9.7%
Yes 8.9¢No 91.7¢
Avg: 0.6¢Max: 1.1¢
polymarket

$400M

Trade
6%
Yes 6.3¢No 94.9¢
1.2¢
$4,450
$35,082
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
predict

$400M

Trade
5%
Yes 5.5¢No 95.9¢
1.4¢
$102,556
$52,814
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
5.2%
Yes 5.9¢No 95.4¢
Avg: 1.3¢Max: 1.4¢
predict

$1B

Trade
3%
Yes 3.3¢No 96.9¢
0.2¢
$130,147
$170,661
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

$1B

Trade
1%
Yes 1.1¢No 99.3¢
0.4¢
$791
$182,379
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2%
Yes 2.2¢No 98.1¢
Avg: 0.3¢Max: 0.4¢
Total markets: 13

Description

These markets ask whether Reya's Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) will exceed a specified amount one day after the token's launch. The FDV is calculated by multiplying the total token supply by the token price. Resolution depends on the most liquid price source available.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict define resolution criteria identically, relying on the same FDV calculation and timing parameters.Primary resolution logic: Most liquid price source available.

Core resolution logic:

  • FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price.
  • Resolution occurs at 4:00 PM ET on the day following the token launch.
  • The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
  • If Reya does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the markets resolve to 'No'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • No Launch: If Reya fails to launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all markets will resolve to 'No'.
  • Launch Date: The exact time of launch will determine the 'one day after launch' resolution time. Resolution will always be 4:00 PM ET the *following* calendar day.
  • Liquid Price Source: The resolution source will be the most liquid price source available. This introduces some ambiguity, but both platforms rely on this same criteria.
Timing: 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the Reya token launch.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Reya's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Reya (https://x.com/reya_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Predict

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Reya's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Reya (https://x.com/reya_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".