TOTAL VOLUME:
$41.6b
24H VOL:
$113,284,831
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,858,735,640
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,620,345,032
79,029
Markets across
1,359
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
138
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
45%
VS.
Kalshi:
55%
Above $2,000/MTU
- Kalshi
Above $2,000/MTU - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Dec 17, 2026
$
These markets track potential future price levels of a specific tungsten product based on assessments from an independent metals market authority. The outcome depends on whether the officially published average price meets or exceeds various price thresholds on a specific date.
All markets resolve based on the published average price of CIF Rotterdam 88.5% APT (SMM-WU-APT-003) by Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) at 8:00 AM ET on December 17, 2026. Each market has a distinct price threshold ($1,000, $1,500, $1,750, $2,000, or $2,250 per MTU); if the published average price exceeds the respective threshold, that market resolves to Yes. The average value is taken directly from SMM's official publication without conversion or independent averaging. The assessment occurs weekly, and no assumption should be made about daily price updates. If no assessment is published for the specified date, COMMODITIES provisions for missing or delayed publication apply. Any formal corrections must be made within 24 hours, and corrections after market expiration are excluded. Kalshi is not affiliated with SMM, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.