TOTAL VOLUME:
$41.6b
24H VOL:
$113,284,831
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,858,735,640
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,620,345,032
79,029
Markets across
1,359
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
138
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
45%
VS.
Kalshi:
55%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25)
Above 15
- Kalshi
Above 15 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 27, 2026
Latest in Politics
Time left: 03h:43m:28s
Will there be more than 15 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
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Description
This event tracks maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz over a one-week period, reflecting global trade dynamics and regional geopolitical stability. The resolution depends on whether the total number of vessel transit calls exceeds specific thresholds during the specified dates.
Kalshi
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for vessel transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from October 19 to October 25, 2026, as reported by the IMF PortWatch. Each market corresponds to a different threshold (e.g., above 15, above 20, above 23, etc.), and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the total number of daily transit calls summed over the week exceeds the respective threshold. All markets share the same calculation method: the total is derived by summing daily counts across the seven-day period. Resolution for all markets occurs no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, ensuring that complete and verified data is available before any outcome is determined.
